AppealToReason

Predicting since Oct 202418 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
2024 October hottest on record?Tech	NoResolved	$1	83¢	100¢	+$0
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Politics	NoResolved	$1	62¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?Politics	YesResolved	$4	25¢	0.0¢	-$4
Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	28¢	0.0¢	-$1
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Tech	YesResolved	$1	33¢	0.0¢	-$1
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" 3 or more times on Call Her Daddy?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	13¢	0.0¢	-$5
JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?Politics	YesResolved	$6	15¢	0.0¢	-$6
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Politics	NoResolved	$48	63¢	0.0¢	-$48
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Politics	NoResolved	$3	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Politics	YesResolved	$5	58¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$5	49¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times October 4-11?Politics	YesResolved	$2	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Kamala Harris say "context" on Call Her Daddy?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	26¢	0.0¢	-$5

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$61

Mentions-$10

Tech-$2

Crypto+$0

Biggest hit

+$10

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Bought No · Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$401y ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$21y ago
Cashed out No · Israel military response against Iran by Friday?$201y ago
Bought Yes · 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$11y ago
Sold No · Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$91y ago
Bought Yes · Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$11y ago
Bought No · Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?$11y ago
Bought Yes · GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?$11y ago
Bought No · 2024 October hottest on record?$11y ago
Bought No · Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$11y ago
Bought Yes · U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?$11y ago
Bought No · Israel military response against Iran by Friday?$101y ago