Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 45¢ | 7.5¢ | -$8 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will BRICS add a new member by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Megaquake by September 30?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $2 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $390b on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $12 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Maduro out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $3 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US x Iran ceasefire before August? Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Zelensky resigns in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?Premier League | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.00-3.25 in August?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |