← Whale Watch

ciro2

Predicting since Dec 2024453 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $858K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $46K across 23 Tech markets.

Biggest hit: +$115K on Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.6K1.7¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$5.2K7.5¢0.0¢-$5.2K
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?PoliticsYesResolved$1929¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?PoliticsYesResolved$7.0K22¢0.0¢-$7.0K
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K23¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$6.2K36¢0.0¢-$6.2K
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$16K11¢0.0¢-$16K
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?PoliticsYesResolved$1894.3¢0.0¢-$189
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$9166¢0.0¢-$91
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?PoliticsYesResolved$77714¢0.0¢-$777
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$8804.4¢0.0¢-$880
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K40¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?CultureYesResolved$68942¢0.0¢-$689
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?CultureYesResolved$4.7K32¢0.0¢-$4.7K
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$70918¢0.0¢-$709
Will Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$611.8¢0.0¢-$61
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$2420.1¢0.0¢-$242
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1802.2¢0.0¢-$180
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$12K23¢0.0¢-$12K
Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.4K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$1.8K2.1¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$5692.1¢0.0¢-$569
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?PoliticsYesResolved$15K18¢0.0¢-$15K
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?TechNoResolved$2.2K23¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$4321.4¢0.0¢-$432
Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?PoliticsNoResolved$45.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Mediterranean Sea Rescue organizations win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.2K2.1¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$9.7K13¢0.0¢-$9.7K
Will Zohran Mamdani win 2 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?PoliticsYesResolved$130.7¢0.0¢-$13
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?PoliticsYesResolved$5110.0¢0.0¢-$51
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K3.8¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.4K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?PoliticsNoResolved$21K35¢0.0¢-$21K
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?PoliticsYesResolved$2.6K14¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$21224¢0.0¢-$212
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$3263.9¢0.0¢-$326
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?CultureYesResolved$21K35¢0.0¢-$21K
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K21¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$381.4¢0.0¢-$38
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$9164.0¢0.0¢-$916
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025PoliticsNoResolved$5.5K12¢0.0¢-$5.5K
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$3357.7¢0.0¢-$335
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K36¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?PoliticsYesResolved$19725¢0.0¢-$197
Will Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$5692.1¢0.0¢-$569
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$9164.0¢0.0¢-$916
Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$291.4¢0.0¢-$29
Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?EconomyYesResolved$9911¢0.0¢-$99
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?PoliticsYesResolved$8244¢0.0¢-$82
Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$150.3¢0.0¢-$15
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$41217¢0.0¢-$412
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$5.5K43¢0.0¢-$5.5K
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? PoliticsNoResolved$2.2K58¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$4321.4¢0.0¢-$432
Will Katy Perry be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.4K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$20018¢0.0¢-$200
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K38¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$3.9K84¢0.0¢-$3.9K
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?PoliticsNoResolved$14512¢0.0¢-$145
Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will Marco Rubio win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$9164.0¢0.0¢-$916
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$1.1K3.9¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Canelo Alvarez be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.4K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will no one drop out first?PoliticsYesResolved$33020¢0.0¢-$330
Will Brad Lander win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$5692.1¢0.0¢-$569
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$604.9¢0.0¢-$60
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$1.0K4.5¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$4321.4¢0.0¢-$432
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?PoliticsNoResolved$2.8K66¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$4321.4¢0.0¢-$432
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$9164.0¢0.0¢-$916
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$611.8¢0.0¢-$61
Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.4K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.4K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$3712.0¢0.0¢-$371
Will Scott Stringer win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$5692.1¢0.0¢-$569
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.4K2.0¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$9164.0¢0.0¢-$916
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$37065¢0.0¢-$370
Will the European Union win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1822.2¢0.0¢-$182
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionPoliticsYesResolved$24918¢0.0¢-$249
US government shutdown in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2.6K20¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?PoliticsYesResolved$18K17¢0.0¢-$18K
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?PoliticsNoResolved$7.0K49¢0.0¢-$7.0K
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$1.6K8.0¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K20¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4.5K53¢0.0¢-$4.5K
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.1K16¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$42.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$4321.4¢0.0¢-$432
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$7034.0¢0.0¢-$703

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$858K
Culture+$72K
Tech+$50K
Mentions+$27K
Crypto-$21K
Finance+$11K
NFL-$6.8K
Economy+$210
Boxing+$104
Biggest hit
+$115K
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$143K
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$4884mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$8394mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$104mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.0K4mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Honduras presidential election annulled by February 28?$1324mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$24K5mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$38K5mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?$6225mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?$1105mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?$15mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?$25mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?$45mo ago