Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $9.4K | 49¢ | 42¢ | -$1.4K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $7.4K | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$146 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $4.4K | 42¢ | 55¢ | +$1.2K |
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | No | $2.1K | 46¢ | 75¢ | +$1.3K |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $3.1K | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$188 |
| Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $918 | 79¢ | 91¢ | +$134 |
Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Other sports | No | $927 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$31 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Politics | No | $872 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$19 |
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics | No | $695 | 73¢ | 89¢ | +$146 |
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | No | $778 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$47 |
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | No | $561 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$8 |
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $436 | 57¢ | 63¢ | +$45 |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $556 | 85¢ | 71¢ | -$93 |
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | Yes | $353 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$28 |
| Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $322 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$43 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $395 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$33 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$58 |
| Will Georgia have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $294 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$36 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $329 | 41¢ | 34¢ | -$60 |
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $248 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$17 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $256 | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?Politics | No | $248 | 89¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $249 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $311 | 53¢ | 41¢ | -$75 |
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | Yes | $207 | 47¢ | 50¢ | +$10 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $203 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$12 |
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Politics | No | $172 | 47¢ | 55¢ | +$31 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $212 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$22 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $138 | 53¢ | 69¢ | +$41 |
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?Politics | Yes | $131 | 73¢ | 96¢ | +$41 |
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $123 | 31¢ | 42¢ | +$39 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $132 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Politics | No | $111 | 52¢ | 64¢ | +$25 |
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?Politics | No | $128 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$9 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $108 | 70¢ | 84¢ | +$22 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Politics | No | $143 | 93¢ | 80¢ | -$21 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Politics | No | $144 | 94¢ | 80¢ | -$22 |
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $156 | 47¢ | 34¢ | -$44 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $95 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$3 |
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $135 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$48 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $67 | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$19 |
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 26¢ | 32¢ | +$14 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $75 | 65¢ | 74¢ | +$10 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | Yes | $92 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$9 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $57 | 65¢ | 90¢ | +$22 |
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?Politics | No | $74 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $359 | 31¢ | 6.5¢ | -$285 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $66 | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$6 |
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Politics | No | $69 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | Yes | $89 | 9.8¢ | 7.4¢ | -$22 |
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $87 | 87¢ | 64¢ | -$23 |
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | Yes | $61 | 59¢ | 57¢ | -$2 |
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | Yes | $24 | 58¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | No | $35 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | Yes | $23 | 17¢ | 24¢ | +$9 |
Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $38 | 50¢ | 39¢ | -$8 |
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Culture | Yes | $57 | 33¢ | 17¢ | -$28 |
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?Politics | Yes | $9 | 28¢ | 93¢ | +$20 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $32 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?Politics | No | $19 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$7 |
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 20¢ | +$5 |
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 23¢ | 45¢ | +$7 |
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Politics | No | $46 | 6.9¢ | 1.9¢ | -$33 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 24¢ | 8.1¢ | -$23 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 15¢ | 23¢ | +$4 |
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.9¢ | 5.3¢ | +$8 |
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | No | $8 | 4.3¢ | 4.2¢ | -$0 |
Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?Politics | Yes | $335 | 65¢ | 1.1¢ | -$329 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for LA Galaxy next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $3 | 3.4¢ | 4.3¢ | +$1 |
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?Politics | No | $58 | 70¢ | 3.8¢ | -$55 |
Will Alexander Hoffmann be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 1.3¢ | +$2 |
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Politics | YesResolved | $82 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?Golf | YesResolved | $468 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$468 |
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $93 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Will there be 13 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Weather | NoResolved | $23 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1.9K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $32 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFL | YesResolved | $116 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in September?Economy | YesResolved | $308 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$308 |
Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $104 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will anyone say "Tylenol" during South Park e6 s27?Mentions | YesResolved | $72 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
| Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 5 and 10 minutes long?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Boston have a white Christmas?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $286 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$286 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
Trump x Elon talk before August?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 15 and 20 minutes long?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Politics | NoResolved | $275 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$275 |
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?Economy | NoResolved | $63 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 New Jersey governor election before 8:00 PM ET on Nov 4 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 NYC mayoral election between 9:00 PM and 9:59 PM ET on Nov 4 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $176 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$176 |