 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $11K | 56¢ | 84¢ | +$5.2K |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $3.1K | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$102 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | No | $1.6K | 46¢ | 89¢ | +$1.5K |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $1.4K | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$73 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $1.4K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$37 |
 Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $914 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$152 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | No | $778 | 78¢ | 95¢ | +$167 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $872 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$30 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Politics | No | $332 | 29¢ | 68¢ | +$429 |
 Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Politics | No | $727 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$34 |
| Will Maine have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $662 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$67 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $347 | 11¢ | 21¢ | +$273 |
 Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics | No | $448 | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$128 |
 Will Kansas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?Politics | No | $530 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$36 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?Politics | Yes | $150 | 20¢ | 73¢ | +$400 |
 Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?College Football | No | $543 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?Politics | No | $457 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$42 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $395 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$98 |
| Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $455 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$36 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $433 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$12 |
 Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | No | $318 | 63¢ | 86¢ | +$110 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $362 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$15 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$76 |
| Will Georgia have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $294 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$40 |
 Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Politics | No | $360 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$26 |
| Will Minnesota have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $293 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$40 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Politics | Yes | $315 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $533 | 29¢ | 17¢ | -$214 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $248 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$67 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Politics | No | $284 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?Politics | Yes | $160 | 42¢ | 74¢ | +$122 |
 Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $122 | 35¢ | 79¢ | +$152 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?Politics | No | $248 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$25 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $249 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 55% or more?Politics | No | $205 | 78¢ | 95¢ | +$44 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $231 | 27¢ | 29¢ | +$17 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | Yes | $344 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$104 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?Politics | No | $216 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
 Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Politics | No | $172 | 47¢ | 62¢ | +$57 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $98 | 18¢ | 41¢ | +$125 |
 Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Politics | No | $167 | 39¢ | 50¢ | +$45 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $383 | 82¢ | 44¢ | -$179 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $203 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$7 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $272 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | -$82 |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $145 | 57¢ | 73¢ | +$42 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $123 | 31¢ | 45¢ | +$51 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $157 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$14 |
 Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Politics | No | $132 | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$25 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Politics | No | $111 | 52¢ | 72¢ | +$44 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 18% or more?Politics | No | $145 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 35% or more?Politics | No | $128 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$18 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?Politics | No | $123 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 55% or more?Politics | No | $130 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?Politics | No | $128 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$4 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Politics | No | $56 | 7.8¢ | 17¢ | +$66 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $108 | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$8 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | Yes | $108 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$6 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?Politics | No | $72 | 56¢ | 78¢ | +$28 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $95 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $156 | 47¢ | 27¢ | -$69 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $67 | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$19 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | Yes | $63 | 34¢ | 45¢ | +$20 |
 Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $87 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$5 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $58 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$23 |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $36 | 11¢ | 25¢ | +$41 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $359 | 31¢ | 6.5¢ | -$285 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $63 | 41¢ | 49¢ | +$12 |
 Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $75 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $86 | 48¢ | 39¢ | -$17 |
 Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?Politics | Yes | $93 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$28 |
 Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Politics | Yes | $106 | 46¢ | 28¢ | -$41 |
| Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $38 | 50¢ | 82¢ | +$25 |
 Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Politics | Yes | $59 | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | Yes | $207 | 47¢ | 14¢ | -$147 |
 Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $56 | 56¢ | 58¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 30% or more?Politics | No | $45 | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
| Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $52 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics | Yes | $49 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $34 | 71¢ | 82¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more?Politics | No | $33 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 12%-15%?Politics | No | $36 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $24 | 16¢ | 23¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$10 |
| Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics | Yes | $67 | 29¢ | 15¢ | -$33 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $72 | 11¢ | 5.3¢ | -$38 |
 Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?Politics | Yes | $36 | 16¢ | 15¢ | -$3 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | No | $47 | 4.0¢ | 2.8¢ | -$14 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $40 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$4 |
| Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics | Yes | $51 | 27¢ | 16¢ | -$21 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | Yes | $82 | 9.8¢ | 3.6¢ | -$52 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $32 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Politics | No | $12 | 71¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?Politics | Yes | $18 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
| Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $16 | 4.6¢ | 3.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 13¢ | +$10 |
 Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 7.0¢ | 21¢ | +$8 |
 Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Culture | Yes | $57 | 33¢ | 7.0¢ | -$45 |
| Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 23¢ | 38¢ | +$4 |
Sold Yes · Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?$131d ago
Cashed out No · Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$2392d ago