← Whale Watch

Trashstar

Predicting since Nov 20241,587 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$4999¢100¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4693¢82¢-$5
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?PoliticsNo$2185¢94¢+$2
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?EconomyNo$1977¢93¢+$4
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$2184¢93¢+$2
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$2286¢85¢-$0
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1993¢96¢+$1
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$1142¢76¢+$8
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$1977¢63¢-$4
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$769¢95¢+$3
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$2078¢34¢-$11
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sportsNo$436¢79¢+$4
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$369¢97¢+$1
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$489¢97¢+$0
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?CultureNo$472¢86¢+$1
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$242¢85¢+$2
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?EconomyYes$660¢34¢-$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?PoliticsNo$475¢66¢-$0
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechYes$238¢56¢+$1
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$245¢56¢+$1
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No$250¢51¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$362¢42¢-$1
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$362¢34¢-$1
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$364¢32¢-$2
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$369¢25¢-$2
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$878¢12¢-$7
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$129¢23¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Premier League-$250
Weather-$239
NFL+$146
Politics+$142
Mentions-$127
Crypto+$124
Boxing+$62
Tech+$59
Other-$44
Soccer (other)+$32
Economy-$31
Culture-$17
Biggest hit
+$185
Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?
Toughest beat
-$225
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 47°F or higher on February 13?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?$02h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will England win on 2026-07-15?$02h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$02h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$52h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$52h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$02h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$52h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102h ago