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Ship-Of-Theseus

Predicting since Jan 2026121 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $13K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $1.7K riding on BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats.

Biggest hit: +$4.6K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$32834¢44¢+$101
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$21118¢17¢-$13
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6616¢14¢-$8
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$367.0¢7.9¢+$4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31?PoliticsYes$202.3¢0.8¢-$13
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$3912¢0.0¢-$39
BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati BearcatsBasketball (other)BYU CougarsResolved$1.7K47¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$8746¢0.0¢-$87
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2101.9¢0.0¢-$210
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$49036¢0.0¢-$490
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee VolunteersCollege HoopsMiami (OH) RedHawksResolved$79818¢0.0¢-$798
ATX Open: Taylor Townsend vs Peyton StearnsTennisTaylor TownsendResolved$10551¢0.0¢-$105
Will Trump say "Congo" during the State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$1549¢0.0¢-$15
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-01?MLSYesResolved$12261¢0.0¢-$122
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World CupYesResolved$5014¢0.0¢-$50
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$74.6¢0.0¢-$7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15533¢0.0¢-$155
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6512¢0.0¢-$65
Villanova Wildcats vs. DePaul Blue DemonsBasketball (other)DePaul Blue DemonsResolved$8844¢0.0¢-$88
Texans vs. PatriotsNFLTexansResolved$8040¢0.0¢-$80
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia BulldogsBasketball (other)Alabama Crimson TideResolved$1.2K38¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay GovernorsBasketball (other)Stetson HattersResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksBasketball (other)Miami (OH) RedHawksResolved$2068¢0.0¢-$20
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved$2190.7¢0.0¢-$219
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$1984.3¢0.0¢-$198
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$38812¢0.0¢-$388
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$820.1¢0.0¢-$82
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$5514¢0.0¢-$55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$186.2¢0.0¢-$18
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue DevilsBasketball (other)North Carolina Tar HeelsResolved$847.0¢0.0¢-$84
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$165.3¢0.0¢-$16
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$9785.4¢0.0¢-$978
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$513.4¢0.0¢-$51
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?PoliticsNoResolved$6012¢0.0¢-$60
Miami vs. IndianaOther sportsMiamiResolved$4415¢0.0¢-$44
Bulls vs. RocketsNBABullsResolved$4221¢0.0¢-$42
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved$2932.8¢0.0¢-$293
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$2654.4¢0.0¢-$265
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky WildcatsCollege HoopsSanta Clara BroncosResolved$7342¢0.0¢-$73
Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan WolverinesBasketball (other)Michigan State SpartansResolved$6513¢0.0¢-$65
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$3716¢0.0¢-$37
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwestern WildcatsBasketball (other)Northwestern WildcatsResolved$1818¢0.0¢-$18
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$12341¢0.0¢-$123
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$506.9¢0.0¢-$50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$3012¢0.0¢-$30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$71.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved$1541.4¢0.0¢-$154
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?World CupYesResolved$20554¢0.0¢-$205
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 164.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$9947¢0.0¢-$99
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville CardinalsCollege HoopsSouth Florida BullsResolved$18437¢0.0¢-$184
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$17951¢0.0¢-$179
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun DevilsBasketball (other)Baylor BearsResolved$31764¢0.0¢-$317
UIC Flames vs. Murray State RacersBasketball (other)Murray State RacersResolved$13454¢0.0¢-$134
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU CougarsCollege HoopsBYU CougarsResolved$31257¢0.0¢-$312
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$52.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Portland" during the State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$293.9¢0.0¢-$29
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupMoroccoResolved$6723¢0.0¢-$67
Thunder vs. KnicksNBAKnicksResolved$5939¢0.0¢-$59
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersBasketball (other)Texas Tech Red RaidersResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$525.2¢0.0¢-$52

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$13K
World Cup-$1.1K
Basketball (other)-$1.0K
NBA+$695
Tennis-$593
Finance-$375
MLS-$122
NFL+$101
College Hoops+$56
Mentions-$49
Other sports-$44
Biggest hit
+$4.6K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$307
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$3618h ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$3618h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$2618h ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$2618h ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$2518h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$10018h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$283d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$283d ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1004d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$454d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$454d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$104d ago