theldentity

Predicting since Dec 2024160 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Crypto	Yes	$11	18¢	19¢	+$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics	Yes	$5	13¢	25¢	+$5
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$6	48¢	74¢	+$3
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Crypto	Yes	$11	19¢	14¢	-$3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$5	18¢	22¢	+$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy	No	$5	17¢	20¢	+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$6	19¢	22¢	+$1
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$16	33¢	13¢	-$10
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy	Yes	$6	17¢	19¢	+$1
Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Tech	Yes	$2	21¢	33¢	+$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics	Yes	$6	27¢	6.5¢	-$4
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech	Yes	$6	15¢	3.4¢	-$4
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	Yes	$6	12¢	2.6¢	-$4
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	No	$5	24¢	5.1¢	-$4
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$5	40¢	0.0¢	-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	17¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$6	10¢	0.0¢	-$6
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$5	13¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$5	23¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$5	39¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$79

Tech-$66

Politics-$45

Economy-$24

Culture+$5

Mentions-$4

Olympics-$4

Finance+$2

eSports+$2

Other sports-$2

Weather+$2

Other+$0

Biggest hit

+$31

Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

Toughest beat

-$14

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 7?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?$014d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$014d ago
Cashed out No · Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$014d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?$014d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?$014d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?$014d ago
Cashed out No · Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$014d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$014d ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$014d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$014d ago
Cashed out No · Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?$014d ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?$014d ago