Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $580 | 68¢ | 96¢ | +$245 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $541 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$6 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $485 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$34 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | Yes | $346 | 63¢ | 71¢ | +$46 |
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $279 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$7 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?Economy | No | $223 | 61¢ | 78¢ | +$60 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?Economy | No | $259 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$16 |
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $258 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $172 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$28 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Politics | Yes | $195 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $154 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Economy | Yes | $137 | 47¢ | 56¢ | +$27 |
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | No | $99 | 66¢ | 89¢ | +$33 |
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $126 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Politics | Yes | $109 | 44¢ | 47¢ | +$5 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $79 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$13 |
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $33 | 27¢ | 74¢ | +$56 |
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Politics | Yes | $82 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$6 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in July?Economy | No | $60 | 66¢ | 97¢ | +$28 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $32 | 43¢ | 99¢ | +$42 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $117 | 42¢ | 26¢ | -$45 |
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | Yes | $58 | 73¢ | 88¢ | +$12 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $59 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$8 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | Yes | $72 | 46¢ | 43¢ | -$6 |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$12 |
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Politics | Yes | $50 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $66 | 93¢ | 77¢ | -$11 |
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $44 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | Yes | $117 | 57¢ | 25¢ | -$67 |
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $50 | 52¢ | 48¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Politics | Yes | $45 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $33 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Politics | No | $36 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $26 | 52¢ | 67¢ | +$7 |
Will G Rick be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $28 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $27 | 76¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?Culture | No | $28 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $28 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 26?Weather | No | $34 | 54¢ | 44¢ | -$7 |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 57¢ | 83¢ | +$8 |
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?Tech | No | $28 | 72¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 25¢ | 53¢ | +$13 |
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy | No | $20 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $29 | 32¢ | 24¢ | -$8 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in July?Economy | No | $19 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Ariana Grande feature Billie Eilish on Petal?Culture | No | $18 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
Will Randy Miller be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $18 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?Politics | No | $52 | 90¢ | 32¢ | -$33 |
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy | No | $9 | 41¢ | 84¢ | +$9 |
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $8 | 40¢ | 75¢ | +$7 |
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Politics | No | $12 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $12 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26?Weather | Yes | $15 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 14¢ | 1.9¢ | -$86 |
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $9 | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$5 |
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 27¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $12 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 55¢ | 71¢ | +$3 |
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $34 | 41¢ | 16¢ | -$21 |
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | Yes | $11 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Politics | Yes | $10 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?Economy | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 45¢ | +$7 |
Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $10 | 68¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Politics | No | $12 | 52¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
Kash Patel out by July 31?Politics | Yes | $103 | 11¢ | 1.2¢ | -$92 |
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $10 | 59¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | No | $11 | 37¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | Yes | $10 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026?Culture | No | $7 | 24¢ | 37¢ | +$4 |
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $29 | 21¢ | 7.5¢ | -$19 |
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | Yes | $5 | 35¢ | 59¢ | +$4 |
Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $17 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $7 | 23¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $9 | 37¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $14 | 34¢ | 21¢ | -$5 |
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Politics | Yes | $6 | 39¢ | 49¢ | +$2 |
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 49¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $7 | 67¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
| Will Altria (MO) Q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in millions) be above 15M?Finance | No | $4 | 28¢ | 52¢ | +$3 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?Economy | No | $7 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $5 | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?Politics | Yes | $2 | 28¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $4 | 50¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
Will Ariana Grande feature The Weeknd on Petal?Culture | No | $4 | 50¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
Will Rashida Tlaib be the MI-12 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $5 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?Politics | Yes | $3 | 59¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| Will Altria (MO) Q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in millions) be above 15.5M?Finance | No | $5 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 67¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | No | $4 | 64¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $3 | 63¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027?Tech | No | $6 | 55¢ | 39¢ | -$2 |
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Politics | Yes | $6 | 9.2¢ | 6.8¢ | -$2 |
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?Culture | Yes | $4 | 34¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Politics | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 8.7¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 79¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |