← Whale Watch

uraw

Predicting since Apr 2026145 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.4K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $7.7K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.3K on US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$7.1K78¢85¢+$578
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$48056¢75¢+$160
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$50090¢97¢+$34
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$98226¢14¢-$463
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoNo$42084¢98¢+$72
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$41073¢83¢+$52
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$39166¢78¢+$68
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$40272¢76¢+$21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$33767¢79¢+$55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$27779¢92¢+$43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$20580¢95¢+$36
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$87049¢13¢-$640
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?CryptoNo$21070¢71¢+$2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$29012¢8.5¢-$84
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$28347¢33¢-$88
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2099.9¢8.3¢-$34
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$16645¢47¢+$4
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$15459¢54¢-$13
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$13257¢41¢-$38
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$39039¢6.5¢-$325
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$29512¢2.5¢-$231
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherYes$4032¢26¢-$8
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherYes$5518¢9.5¢-$25
ECB rate cut in 2026?EconomyYes$3616¢13¢-$8
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3527¢20¢-$9
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$204.8¢5.1¢+$1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$204.8¢5.1¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1461¢65¢+$1
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?FinanceYes$1963¢23¢-$12
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$344¢18¢-$2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20?CryptoNoResolved$5113¢0.0¢-$51
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$40618¢0.0¢-$406
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K63¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$2422.3¢0.0¢-$242
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$856.3¢0.0¢-$85
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$500.2¢0.0¢-$50
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1650.8¢0.0¢-$165
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$4685.1¢0.0¢-$468
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$65536¢0.0¢-$655
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1063.2¢0.0¢-$106
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15512¢0.0¢-$155
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1121¢0.0¢-$11
Exact Score: Valencia CF 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?La LigaYesResolved$207.0¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$7.4K
Crypto+$1.4K
Finance+$188
Weather+$69
Tech+$27
La Liga-$20
World Cup-$11
Economy+$6
Biggest hit
+$3.3K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Toughest beat
-$290
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$6991h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$921h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$651h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$651h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$11h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$461h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$2112h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$813h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$103h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$64h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$34h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$74h ago