 Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams?Culture | No | $7 | 36¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-11 House seat?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $18 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?Politics | No | $16 | 80¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
 Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?Politics | No | $12 | 58¢ | 70¢ | +$2 |
 Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 84¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 76¢ | 68¢ | -$2 |
 Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 65¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $6 | 32¢ | 64¢ | +$6 |
 Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer SpliteSports | No | $12 | 60¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
 Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 56¢ | +$4 |
 Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Politics | No | $8 | 42¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 71¢ | 49¢ | -$5 |
 Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?Culture | No | $12 | 60¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Politics | No | $7 | 35¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
 Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Politics | No | $11 | 57¢ | 36¢ | -$4 |
 Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 28¢ | -$6 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 31¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
 Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?Politics | No | $11 | 54¢ | 13¢ | -$8 |
 Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Politics | No | $3 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics | No | $7 | 35¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 78¢ | 8.5¢ | -$14 |
 Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $9 | 47¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?Culture | No | $1 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be negative?Economy | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 5.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will New People win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Yabloko win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 26?Weather | NoResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 104m by October 31?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Culture | NoResolved | $6 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gen.G Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $6 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $12 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?Weather | NoResolved | $9 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will "Spa Weekend" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $36 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Radiant Win More Games at Dota The International 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $0 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $9 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $17 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Trump say "Drug" or "Murderer" 10+ times during remarks in New York?Mentions | NoResolved | $16 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the announcers say "Wind" or "Windy" during the Rams vs Broncos game?NFL | NoResolved | $13 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will “Choka Choka” by Anitta and Shakira win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)eSports | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will FURIA Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six SiegeeSports | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Mark Kaye be the FL-05 Republican nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Mentions | YesResolved | $8 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Dire Win More Games at Dota The International 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Ravens vs Cowboys game?NFL | NoResolved | $17 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?Weather | NoResolved | $0 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Ravens vs Cowboys game?NFL | YesResolved | $12 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will A have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will CPRF win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $7 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 14?Weather | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Monday be the most viewed day of The Five for the week of August 3 - August 9?Culture | NoResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will valve announce Arjun as the new hero at The International 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will CPRF win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sentinels Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sonny Gray lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?MLB | NoResolved | $1 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12 and 14 million views on day 1?Culture | NoResolved | $8 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out No · Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?$2018h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?$118h ago
Cashed out No · Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 3 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?$202d ago
Sold No · Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?$82d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$142d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?$93d ago
Sold Yes · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?$123d ago