wcaleniemawerty

Predicting since Jan 2025106 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Politics	NoResolved	$5	61¢	100¢	+$3
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$5	85¢	100¢	+$1
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics	Yes	$10	20¢	9.5¢	-$5
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	Yes	$3	11¢	7.2¢	-$1
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	25¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$2	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?Tech	YesResolved	$20	31¢	0.0¢	-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasoneSports	Los RatonesResolved	$10	43¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech	YesResolved	$5	33¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$9	14¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$5	46¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech	YesResolved	$5	35¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$5	26¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$3
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?Tech	YesResolved	$4	25¢	0.0¢	-$4

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$51

Tech-$37

Culture-$25

Economy+$20

eSports-$5

Mentions-$4

Crypto-$3

Premier League-$1

Other+$0

Biggest hit

+$87

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Toughest beat

-$34

Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?

Bought Los Ratones · LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$55mo ago
Bought Los Ratones · LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$55mo ago
Bought Yes · Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$55mo ago
Cashed out Los Ratones · LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$105mo ago
Bought Los Ratones · LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$55mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$25mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$45mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$55mo ago