donnington

Predicting since Sep 20241,000 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$0	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics	NoResolved	$5	93¢	0.0¢	-$5
"Americana" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–84%?Culture	YesResolved	$0	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	7.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	7.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ethereum Up or Down on December 1?Crypto	UpResolved	$2	34¢	0.0¢	-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$48	71¢	0.0¢	-$48
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$0	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$0	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$0	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$0	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	37¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will 25 or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$0	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$0	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	YesResolved	$0	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$0
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$0	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will 22-24 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	7.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$0	9.7¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	7.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 19-21 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	7.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on July 18?Weather	NoResolved	$0	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$1	39¢	0.0¢	-$1
Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorBoxing	TateResolved	$20	81¢	0.0¢	-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$802

NBA+$79

Soccer (other)-$41

Weather-$29

Boxing-$20

Crypto-$18

UFC / MMA+$10

NFL-$7

Tech-$4

College Football+$4

Culture-$4

Formula 1-$4

Biggest hit

+$61

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Toughest beat

-$615

Will AfD win the most votes in the 2024 Brandenburg election?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$14mo ago
Cashed out Pacers · Kings vs. Pacers$24mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?$54mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$54mo ago
Cashed out No · Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$54mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$94mo ago
Sold Nuggets · Nuggets vs. Raptors$176mo ago
Sold Nuggets · Nuggets vs. Raptors$206mo ago
Sold Nuggets · Nuggets vs. Raptors$176mo ago
Sold Nuggets · Nuggets vs. Raptors$656mo ago
Sold Nuggets · Nuggets vs. Raptors$36mo ago
Sold Nuggets · Nuggets vs. Raptors$36mo ago