← Whale Watch

Joe-Biden

Predicting since Jul 2021365 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $559K on Politics markets since Jul 2021.

Right now: $162K riding on Switzerland vs. Algeria - More Markets.

Biggest hit: +$932K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$27K9.7¢8.5¢-$3.4K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$9.9K9.9¢9.5¢-$449
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$85527¢24¢-$111
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$623.8¢0.4¢-$55
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$54K27¢0.0¢-$54K
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$4.8K20¢0.0¢-$4.8K
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$5112.4¢0.0¢-$511
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?World CupNoResolved$12K43¢0.0¢-$12K
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$33K15¢0.0¢-$33K
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$780.8¢0.0¢-$78
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?World CupNoResolved$21K39¢0.0¢-$21K
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?TechNoResolved$8.4K21¢0.0¢-$8.4K
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?TechNoResolved$30050¢0.0¢-$300
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1.1K59¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$7.3K48¢0.0¢-$7.3K
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?Premier LeagueYesResolved$48K78¢0.0¢-$48K
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceWorld CupAlgeriaResolved$162K33¢0.0¢-$162K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$10K44¢0.0¢-$10K
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$16K15¢0.0¢-$16K
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$573.9¢0.0¢-$57
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?MLBNoResolved$80K67¢0.0¢-$80K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$128K8.5¢0.0¢-$128K
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$9.0K9.0¢0.0¢-$9.0K
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?Champions LeagueYesResolved$42K58¢0.0¢-$42K
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$8613.9¢0.0¢-$861
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?Champions LeagueYesResolved$4.9K41¢0.0¢-$4.9K
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$15K41¢0.0¢-$15K
Will England win on 2026-06-17?World CupNoResolved$25K42¢0.0¢-$25K
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceWorld CupSenegalResolved$37K59¢0.0¢-$37K
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?World CupYesResolved$7782.2¢0.0¢-$778
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?World CupNoResolved$47K31¢0.0¢-$47K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?World CupNoResolved$50K66¢0.0¢-$50K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$9.5K35¢0.0¢-$9.5K
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05?Soccer (other)YesResolved$5.2K10.0¢0.0¢-$5.2K
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceWorld CupCroatiaResolved$18K27¢0.0¢-$18K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$121K39¢0.0¢-$121K
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$28K46¢0.0¢-$28K
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$685.5¢0.0¢-$68
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?World CupNoResolved$26K35¢0.0¢-$26K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?Premier LeagueYesResolved$59K69¢0.0¢-$59K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?World CupNoResolved$45K18¢0.0¢-$45K
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$57014¢0.0¢-$570
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?Champions LeagueYesResolved$2.5K30¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Fed rate cut in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$19K24¢0.0¢-$19K
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$41K54¢0.0¢-$41K
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$8.4K42¢0.0¢-$8.4K
America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$3027.8¢0.0¢-$302
Will England win on 2026-07-01?World CupNoResolved$46K23¢0.0¢-$46K
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$38K37¢0.0¢-$38K
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWorld CupColombiaResolved$30K55¢0.0¢-$30K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?Champions LeagueNoResolved$46K57¢0.0¢-$46K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$53K26¢0.0¢-$53K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?TechNoResolved$1.9K19¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNorwayResolved$63K21¢0.0¢-$63K
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-25?MLSYesResolved$32241¢0.0¢-$322
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 31?TechNoResolved$133.1¢0.0¢-$13
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceWorld CupParaguayResolved$38K7.6¢0.0¢-$38K
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?World CupYesResolved$24K16¢0.0¢-$24K
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupCanadaResolved$67K27¢0.0¢-$67K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$2.4K0.4¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$12K62¢0.0¢-$12K
Grokipedia released by December 31?TechNoResolved$15115¢0.0¢-$151
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$11K11¢0.0¢-$11K
Chargers vs. RaidersNFLRaidersResolved$40K37¢0.0¢-$40K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?World CupNoResolved$26K26¢0.0¢-$26K
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?TechNoResolved$39016¢0.0¢-$390
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K33¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.5K40¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?Premier LeagueYesResolved$19539¢0.0¢-$195
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?World CupNoResolved$26K53¢0.0¢-$26K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$50K83¢0.0¢-$50K
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?World CupYesResolved$6.5K13¢0.0¢-$6.5K
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Other sportsYesResolved$30512¢0.0¢-$305
Will Trump resign today?PoliticsYesResolved$7.7K0.5¢0.0¢-$7.7K
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?World CupNoResolved$112K45¢0.0¢-$112K
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceWorld CupEcuadorResolved$148K37¢0.0¢-$148K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?World CupYesResolved$25K84¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$61K41¢0.0¢-$61K
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Other sportsYesResolved$1104.7¢0.0¢-$110
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$15K15¢0.0¢-$15K
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17?Champions LeagueYesResolved$14K14¢0.0¢-$14K
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$11K36¢0.0¢-$11K
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$20K20¢0.0¢-$20K
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?TechNoResolved$18K22¢0.0¢-$18K
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?World CupNoResolved$74K53¢0.0¢-$74K
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?Other sportsYesResolved$173.3¢0.0¢-$17
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$39K6.1¢0.0¢-$39K
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)MLSHouston DynamoResolved$31020¢0.0¢-$310
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?TechNoResolved$94431¢0.0¢-$944
Will France win on 2026-06-22?World CupNoResolved$6425.9¢0.0¢-$642
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?World CupYesResolved$7.0K10¢0.0¢-$7.0K
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$20K20¢0.0¢-$20K
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?World CupNoResolved$28K36¢0.0¢-$28K
Will England win on 2026-06-27?World CupNoResolved$28K14¢0.0¢-$28K
Will France win on 2025-11-13?Soccer (other)NoResolved$14K17¢0.0¢-$14K
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?La LigaYesResolved$158K27¢0.0¢-$158K
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$69029¢0.0¢-$690
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupMoroccoResolved$34K23¢0.0¢-$34K
Will Athletic Club vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$3.0K17¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$18K2.5¢0.0¢-$18K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$559K
Other sports+$415K
Premier League+$203K
World Cup+$154K
La Liga-$120K
Soccer (other)+$112K
Other+$94K
MLB-$73K
Tech-$53K
Crypto-$18K
Champions League+$15K
MLS+$14K
Biggest hit
+$932K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$199K
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$767K6d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93K6d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1836d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3406d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5006d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$76d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$786d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$486d ago