Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 46¢ | 64¢ | +$567 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $625 | 41¢ | 66¢ | +$375 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $635 | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$69 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $246 | 69¢ | 93¢ | +$85 |
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $121 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $78 | 76¢ | 60¢ | -$17 |
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on September 10?Weather | Yes | $16 | 15¢ | 48¢ | +$33 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $27 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 39¢ | +$7 |
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Economy | Yes | $4 | 21¢ | 65¢ | +$9 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $12 | 54¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$14 |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $58 | 3.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$50 |
Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.9¢ | 30¢ | +$7 |
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 51¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.3¢ | 31¢ | +$6 |
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Politics | No | $4 | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Politics | No | $10 | 42¢ | 21¢ | -$5 |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | No | $4 | 39¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 11?Weather | No | $5 | 55¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $4 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $2 | 2.6¢ | 5.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.3¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 86-88%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 11?Weather | Yes | $1 | 9.1¢ | 33¢ | +$2 |
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 6.0¢ | 3.8¢ | -$2 |
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
Will Robert Raimondo win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $119 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$117 |
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $2 | 2.0¢ | 3.0¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Economy | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 88% or more?Politics | Yes | $1 | 8.0¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Politics | Yes | $12 | 10¢ | 1.5¢ | -$10 |
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?Politics | Yes | $12 | 10¢ | 1.4¢ | -$10 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 4.0¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.9¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 11?Weather | No | $1 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Jessica de la Cruz win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $119 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$118 |
Will Ashley Kalus win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $119 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$118 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $75 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$73 |
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $74 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$73 |
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $74 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$73 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $74 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$73 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $74 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$72 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $74 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$72 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $74 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$72 |
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
LAPTOP FDV above $4B one day after launch?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $18 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $60 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |