aysupernova

Predicting since Jan 2026169 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.5K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $588 riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics	No	$285	82¢	89¢	+$24
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics	Yes	$75	30¢	28¢	-$5
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	No	$60	60¢	62¢	+$2
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics	Yes	$18	15¢	19¢	+$5
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics	Yes	$19	31¢	36¢	+$3
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics	Yes	$18	36¢	35¢	-$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics	Yes	$17	11¢	1.1¢	-$15
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	Yes	$1	0.7¢	1.7¢	+$1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics	NoResolved	$28	7.1¢	0.0¢	-$28
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$201	63¢	0.0¢	-$201
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$588	47¢	0.0¢	-$588
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$123	31¢	0.0¢	-$123
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$53	26¢	0.0¢	-$53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$42	17¢	0.0¢	-$42
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$53	21¢	0.0¢	-$53
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$116	58¢	0.0¢	-$116
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy	YesResolved	$18	13¢	0.0¢	-$18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics	YesResolved	$70	35¢	0.0¢	-$70
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$87	44¢	0.0¢	-$87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$62	62¢	0.0¢	-$62
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$15	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$159	53¢	0.0¢	-$159
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$35	35¢	0.0¢	-$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$96	32¢	0.0¢	-$96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Politics	YesResolved	$12	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$12
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$88	22¢	0.0¢	-$88
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$69	23¢	0.0¢	-$69
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Politics	YesResolved	$67	37¢	0.0¢	-$67
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$30	30¢	0.0¢	-$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics	YesResolved	$54	36¢	0.0¢	-$54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Finance	YesResolved	$129	64¢	0.0¢	-$129
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$228	65¢	0.0¢	-$228

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.5K

Finance-$773

Economy+$149

Crypto+$96

Biggest hit

+$384

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Toughest beat

-$872

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$75h ago
Bought No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$5914h ago
Bought Yes · Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$113d ago
Bought Yes · Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$011d ago
Bought Yes · Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$011d ago
Bought Yes · Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$011d ago
Bought No · Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$12212d ago
Bought No · Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$14012d ago
Bought Yes · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$514d ago
Bought Yes · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$215d ago
Bought Yes · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$115d ago
Bought Yes · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$415d ago