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aysupernova

Predicting since Jan 2026162 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.7K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $588 riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$7530¢30¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$22865¢8.5¢-$198
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$1711¢12¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$58847¢0.7¢-$580
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4217¢0.7¢-$41
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?PoliticsNoResolved$287.1¢0.0¢-$28
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20163¢0.0¢-$201
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5326¢0.0¢-$53
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5321¢0.0¢-$53
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$11658¢0.0¢-$116
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyYesResolved$1813¢0.0¢-$18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$7035¢0.0¢-$70
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8744¢0.0¢-$87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6262¢0.0¢-$62
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15953¢0.0¢-$159
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3535¢0.0¢-$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9632¢0.0¢-$96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$128.0¢0.0¢-$12
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$8822¢0.0¢-$88
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6923¢0.0¢-$69
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?PoliticsYesResolved$6737¢0.0¢-$67
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$5436¢0.0¢-$54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?FinanceYesResolved$12964¢0.0¢-$129

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.7K
Finance-$773
Economy+$149
Crypto+$96
Biggest hit
+$384
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$872
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$5106d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$65019d ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$35025d ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$60025d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$55025d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$45025d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$4627d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$327d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$327d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$327d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$14027d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$3327d ago