← Whale Watch

calbu

Predicting since May 2025139 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?PoliticsYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$13.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYesResolved$2111¢0.0¢-$21
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? PoliticsNoResolved$5915¢0.0¢-$59
1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?TechNoResolved$662¢0.0¢-$6
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?WeatherNoResolved$1223¢0.0¢-$12
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?WeatherNoResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
Will Brad Lander finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?PoliticsYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$13.2¢0.0¢-$1
2025 August second hottest on record?WeatherYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
US forces in Iran before August?PoliticsYesResolved$713¢0.0¢-$7
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$86.0¢0.0¢-$8
Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?PoliticsNoResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$735
Weather-$75
Mentions-$51
Tech+$33
Crypto-$30
Champions League-$14
Economy-$2
Other-$1
Biggest hit
+$161
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$172
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · 1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?$611mo ago
  • Bought Yes · 2025 August second hottest on record?$211mo ago
  • Sold No · Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$2211mo ago
  • Sold No · Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$21y ago
  • Sold No · Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$241y ago
  • Sold No · 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?$181y ago
  • Bought No · Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?$31y ago
  • Bought No · Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$121y ago
  • Bought No · Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$91y ago
  • Bought No · Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$101y ago
  • Bought No · 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?$81y ago
  • Sold Yes · Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$31y ago