calbu

Predicting since May 2025139 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Politics	YesResolved	$10	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$1	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Weather	YesResolved	$21	11¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? Politics	NoResolved	$59	15¢	0.0¢	-$59
1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?Tech	NoResolved	$6	62¢	0.0¢	-$6
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Weather	NoResolved	$12	23¢	0.0¢	-$12
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?Weather	NoResolved	$3	67¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Brad Lander finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics	NoResolved	$5	27¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Politics	YesResolved	$3	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
2025 August second hottest on record?Weather	YesResolved	$2	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
US forces in Iran before August?Politics	YesResolved	$7	13¢	0.0¢	-$7
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Crypto	NoResolved	$8	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$8
Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Crypto	NoResolved	$19	19¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Politics	NoResolved	$2	33¢	0.0¢	-$2

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$735

Weather-$75

Mentions-$51

Tech+$33

Crypto-$30

Champions League-$14

Economy-$2

Other-$1

Biggest hit

+$161

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Toughest beat

-$172

Another US military action against Iran by June 30?

Bought No · 1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?$61y ago
Bought Yes · 2025 August second hottest on record?$21y ago
Sold No · Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$221y ago
Sold No · Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$21y ago
Sold No · Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$241y ago
Sold No · 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?$181y ago
Bought No · Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?$31y ago
Bought No · Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$121y ago
Bought No · Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$91y ago
Bought No · Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$101y ago
Bought No · 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?$81y ago
Sold Yes · Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$31y ago