 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $15K | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$450 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $1.9K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $1.0K | 52¢ | 88¢ | +$702 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 17¢ | 7.3¢ | -$905 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $74 | 14¢ | 82¢ | +$359 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $214 | 43¢ | 14¢ | -$141 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $24 | 30¢ | 89¢ | +$48 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $667 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$667 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $186 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$186 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $990 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$990 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6.2K | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.2K |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $9.1K | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.1K |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $999 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$999 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $147 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $1.8K | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $1.7K | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
 Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $370 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$370 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $195 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$195 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $2.4K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3.9K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.9K |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $491 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$491 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8.8K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.8K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $107 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Politics | NoResolved | $138 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $720 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$720 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $789 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$789 |
| Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $1.0K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $116 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $1.0K | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $626 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$626 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Politics | YesResolved | $3.2K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.2K |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $852 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$852 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $131 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $900 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$900 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3.0K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | NoResolved | $1.1K | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $3.9K | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.9K |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $567 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$567 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $7.3K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.3K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $57 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $445 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$445 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $115 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $316 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$316 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | YesResolved | $324 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$324 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $672 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$672 |