← Whale Watch

frostnovae

Predicting since Jul 202562 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $140K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $140K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$19K on US forces enter Iran by April 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$34K42¢0.0¢-$34K
TikTok sale announced in 2025?TechNoResolved$50073¢0.0¢-$500
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$25027¢0.0¢-$250
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?TechNoResolved$50065¢0.0¢-$500
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$50035¢0.0¢-$500
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$25K69¢0.0¢-$25K
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$21K53¢0.0¢-$21K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$57K59¢0.0¢-$57K
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?TechNoResolved$50074¢0.0¢-$500
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2.4K54¢0.0¢-$2.4K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$1.5K0.5¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?TechNoResolved$50057¢0.0¢-$500
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?PoliticsNoResolved$18K28¢0.0¢-$18K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$9.4K89¢0.0¢-$9.4K
OpenAI social app in 2025?TechNoResolved$50084¢0.0¢-$500
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$23K66¢0.0¢-$23K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$140K
Tech-$2.6K
Economy+$874
Mentions+$26
Biggest hit
+$19K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Toughest beat
-$893
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$28K1mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$11K3mo ago
  • Bought No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$3.6K3mo ago
  • Bought No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$5.0K3mo ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.0K3mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.6K3mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3.7K3mo ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.7K3mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2.6K3mo ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.6K3mo ago
  • Bought No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$8.8K3mo ago
  • Bought No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$13K3mo ago