← Whale Watch

MMemento

Predicting since Jan 2026148 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $23K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $15K riding on How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?PoliticsYesResolved$15K77¢0.0¢-$15K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?WeatherYesResolved$4841.0¢0.0¢-$484
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$14547¢0.0¢-$145
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?TechYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?PoliticsNoResolved$2.5K36¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?TechYesResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$5921¢0.0¢-$59
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will another company be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6024¢0.0¢-$60
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$32.5¢0.0¢-$3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$17740¢0.0¢-$177
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.1%?EconomyYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.2%?EconomyYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K61¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$110.5¢0.0¢-$11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?WeatherNoResolved$104.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?CryptoNoResolved$54.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYesResolved$3131¢0.0¢-$31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$10016¢0.0¢-$100
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYesResolved$205.1¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?MentionsNoResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2211¢0.0¢-$22
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$209.0¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$22016¢0.0¢-$220
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?WeatherNoResolved$1.2K76¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$6120¢0.0¢-$61
Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?MentionsNoResolved$4772¢0.0¢-$47
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1029¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$1222¢0.0¢-$12
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.5%?EconomyYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?TechYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1038¢0.0¢-$10
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?PoliticsNoResolved$5.0K52¢0.0¢-$5.0K
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?CultureYesResolved$3925¢0.0¢-$39
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?CryptoNoResolved$2067¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?PoliticsYesResolved$110.9¢0.0¢-$11
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?PoliticsNoResolved$200.1¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$23K
Weather-$1.7K
Crypto-$698
Other sports+$400
Tech+$302
Mentions-$163
Culture-$100
Finance+$38
World Cup+$34
NBA+$13
Economy-$3
eSports-$1
Biggest hit
+$647
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$693
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?$1.1K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$92d ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$122d ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$132d ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$132d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$912d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$1102d ago
  • Bought No · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?$335d ago
  • Bought No · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?$275d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?$25d ago
  • Bought No · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?$35d ago
  • Bought No · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?$65d ago