 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $278 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Politics | No | $250 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | No | $302 | 40¢ | 33¢ | -$56 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?Politics | Yes | $232 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?Politics | No | $226 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$12 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $218 | 83¢ | 77¢ | -$15 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | No | $222 | 29¢ | 25¢ | -$34 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | No | $233 | 36¢ | 28¢ | -$49 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $169 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 10?Weather | No | $142 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $89 | 17¢ | 26¢ | +$45 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 10?Weather | No | $109 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$21 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on September 10?Weather | No | $133 | 79¢ | 63¢ | -$28 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $311 | 25¢ | 7.5¢ | -$218 |
 Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | No | $99 | 76¢ | 71¢ | -$7 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech | No | $148 | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 10?Weather | Yes | $27 | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$60 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $81 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Politics | No | $72 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$10 |
 KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT WizBaseball (other) | KT Wiz | $75 | 51¢ | 55¢ | +$6 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $84 | 53¢ | 47¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 10?Weather | No | $58 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech | No | $56 | 71¢ | 86¢ | +$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 10?Weather | No | $52 | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$7 |
 Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | No | $61 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 10?Weather | No | $36 | 37¢ | 59¢ | +$21 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Politics | No | $47 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 10?Weather | No | $26 | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $79 | 51¢ | 28¢ | -$35 |
 Vikings vs. BearsNFL | Bears | $43 | 59¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $44 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 10?Weather | No | $33 | 69¢ | 90¢ | +$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on September 10?Weather | No | $48 | 85¢ | 69¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?Politics | No | $86 | 10¢ | 3.5¢ | -$55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $30 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?Weather | No | $18 | 73¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Politics | Yes | $25 | 34¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $61 | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | -$38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 10?Weather | Yes | $14 | 36¢ | 57¢ | +$8 |
 Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 47¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $55 | 29¢ | 11¢ | -$35 |
 Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $25 | 3.7¢ | 2.6¢ | -$7 |
| Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 1.2¢ | 3.3¢ | +$11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 10?Weather | Yes | $30 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $7 | 16¢ | 38¢ | +$9 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $82 | 28¢ | 5.0¢ | -$67 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $13 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $25 | 41¢ | 23¢ | -$11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $53 | 20¢ | 5.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 10?Weather | No | $9 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 67¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Economy | Yes | $8 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-20 House seat?Politics | No | $14 | 5.4¢ | 4.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 10?Weather | No | $14 | 59¢ | 43¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 4.0¢ | 3.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Politics | No | $6 | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 3.6¢ | 0.8¢ | -$29 |
 Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture | Yes | $2 | 1.2¢ | 3.2¢ | +$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 10?Weather | No | $5 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 2.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1 |
 Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?eSports | No | $4 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 10?Weather | Yes | $1 | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 3.2¢ | 4.4¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 2.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$28 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 3.6¢ | 1.5¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on September 10?Weather | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$6 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 10?Weather | No | $4 | 5.8¢ | 3.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 3.0¢ | 0.2¢ | -$25 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.1¢ | 1.3¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?Weather | No | $1 | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 10?Weather | No | $88 | 33¢ | 0.6¢ | -$86 |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Politics | No | $1 | 26¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
Cashed out Under · Games Total: O/U 3.5$028m ago