rouxshan

Predicting since Sep 202627 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?Tech	Yes	$190	69¢	70¢	+$4
Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?Mentions	No	$34	17¢	16¢	-$2
Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	Yes	$36	24¢	19¢	-$8
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics	No	$20	10¢	13¢	+$6
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Politics	No	$33	33¢	18¢	-$15
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Tech	Yes	$40	20¢	8.5¢	-$23
Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	Yes	$16	8.0¢	7.5¢	-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$12	12¢	14¢	+$2
Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	Yes	$14	14¢	13¢	-$1
Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Mentions	Yes	$15	10¢	7.8¢	-$3
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics	Yes	$12	12¢	6.5¢	-$6
Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	Yes	$34	8.4¢	1.0¢	-$30
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Tech	Yes	$3	5.0¢	5.5¢	+$0

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$104

Politics-$95

Crypto-$22

Mentions-$3

Biggest hit

+$96

Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$26

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Bought No · Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?$182h ago
Bought No · Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?$182h ago
Bought Yes · Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?$34h ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$126h ago
Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$022h ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?$223h ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$01d ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$291d ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$251d ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$261d ago
Bought Yes · Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$171d ago
Bought Yes · Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$81d ago