← Whale Watch

0x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-1766855317883

Predicting since Dec 2025729 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $25K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $2.7K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$33K on US strikes Iraq by February 28?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsYes$85252¢39¢-$211
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$75216¢13¢-$178
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$4808.7¢8.5¢-$12
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$38261¢59¢-$10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsYes$33921¢14¢-$118
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$31022¢13¢-$137
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.7K22¢0.8¢-$2.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$10018¢16¢-$14
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$8211¢11¢-$3
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$6030¢36¢+$10
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$197.2¢16¢+$22
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$5656¢41¢-$15
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$26519¢2.1¢-$235
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5226¢13¢-$27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1005.0¢0.9¢-$83
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$73816¢0.4¢-$722
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1298.4¢0.9¢-$116
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.9¢1.8¢-$0
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$86.1¢6.3¢+$0
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15829¢1.1¢-$152
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8442¢2.4¢-$79
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$203.5¢0.8¢-$16
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$21020¢0.0¢-$210
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$12043¢0.0¢-$120
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?World CupYesResolved$105.4¢0.0¢-$10
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$109.2¢0.0¢-$10
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$18730¢0.0¢-$187
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?World CupYesResolved$101.9¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$2023¢0.0¢-$20
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$91.2¢0.0¢-$9
Will France win on 2026-07-18?World CupYesResolved$8026¢0.0¢-$80
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?World CupYesResolved$1007.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$603.6¢0.0¢-$60
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$306.3¢0.0¢-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$2105.5¢0.0¢-$210
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1044¢0.0¢-$10
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNorwayResolved$2236.3¢0.0¢-$223
Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$307.6¢0.0¢-$30
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3733.0¢0.0¢-$373
France leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$154.7¢0.0¢-$15
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$5014¢0.0¢-$50
France vs. England: Team to WinWorld CupFranceResolved$607.5¢0.0¢-$60
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$29031¢0.0¢-$290
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWorld CupSwitzerlandResolved$30029¢0.0¢-$300

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$25K
eSports-$1.2K
Crypto+$768
Boxing+$635
World Cup+$424
Champions League-$351
UFC / MMA+$314
Mentions-$219
Weather-$143
Culture+$131
Tech+$101
Premier League-$85
Biggest hit
+$33K
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$7.0K
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1773h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by December 31?$2693h ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$13h ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$73h ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1923h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$202d ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$312d ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$182d ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$253d ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$224d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1384d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?$604d ago