 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $520 | 8.6¢ | 6.5¢ | -$125 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $938 | 49¢ | 14¢ | -$661 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $439 | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$169 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $402 | 59¢ | 34¢ | -$167 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $752 | 16¢ | 5.0¢ | -$523 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $100 | 19¢ | 27¢ | +$42 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $200 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$71 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $99 | 50¢ | 54¢ | +$9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $310 | 22¢ | 6.5¢ | -$220 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $202 | 22¢ | 8.3¢ | -$125 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 30¢ | 29¢ | -$4 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $19 | 7.2¢ | 14¢ | +$19 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $82 | 11¢ | 3.0¢ | -$60 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 26¢ | 6.5¢ | -$39 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $56 | 56¢ | 6.5¢ | -$50 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
| Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$5 |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 6.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $210 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $120 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2.7K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $10 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $187 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$187 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-04?Premier League | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $9 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?World Cup | YesResolved | $80 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $265 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$265 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $60 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $210 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
 Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | NorwayResolved | $223 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$223 |
| Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $30 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $373 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$373 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| France leading at halftime?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| France vs. England: Team to WinWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $60 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $738 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$738 |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $290 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$290 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $308 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$308 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | SwitzerlandResolved | $300 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $80 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Sold No · Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?$721d ago