Avivbar

Predicting since Jun 202548 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	No	$10	58¢	67¢	+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	Yes	$6	15¢	5.5¢	-$4
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	10.0¢	11¢	+$0
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	6.0¢	5.3¢	-$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$5	28¢	9.5¢	-$3
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$10	41¢	6.5¢	-$8
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$4	53¢	21¢	-$2
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	10.0¢	7.2¢	-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	Yes	$5	33¢	8.5¢	-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$10	41¢	0.0¢	-$10
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	17¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$10	63¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$2	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$11	6.4¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$6	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$6	48¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$4	34¢	0.0¢	-$4
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$5	32¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	39¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	11¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$15	48¢	0.0¢	-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$66

Crypto-$39

Economy-$3

Biggest hit

+$6

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Toughest beat

-$10

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Recent moves

Bought No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$102mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$102mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$63mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$23mo ago
Sold Yes · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$83mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$23mo ago
Sold Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$03mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$03mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$03mo ago
Sold Yes · Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$03mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$03mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$44mo ago