LastOrder

Predicting since Apr 2026263 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech	No	$45	80¢	80¢	-$0
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Tech	Yes	$27	36¢	33¢	-$2
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Weather	Yes	$21	30¢	29¢	-$1
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech	Yes	$24	33¢	26¢	-$5
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech	No	$14	70¢	63¢	-$2
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?Finance	No	$19	66¢	42¢	-$7
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech	No	$9	85¢	83¢	-$0
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?Finance	Yes	$8	83¢	80¢	-$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech	Yes	$7	12¢	13¢	+$1
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?Weather	Yes	$7	12¢	8.5¢	-$2
Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	Yes	$15	24¢	7.0¢	-$11
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture	Yes	$7	46¢	28¢	-$3
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?Finance	No	$4	72¢	69¢	-$0
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech	Yes	$8	14¢	5.5¢	-$5
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?Politics	Yes	$11	19¢	4.5¢	-$9
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?Finance	No	$11	18¢	3.9¢	-$8
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?Finance	No	$5	51¢	21¢	-$3
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?Finance	Yes	$1	22¢	31¢	+$0
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?Culture	Yes	$8	19¢	2.9¢	-$6
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?Politics	No	$2	54¢	41¢	-$0
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $159 Week of July 20 2026?Finance	YesResolved	$8	14¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 in July?Finance	NoResolved	$7	13¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$4	11¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in July?Finance	NoResolved	$9	15¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions	YesResolved	$13	30¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?Finance	YesResolved	$26	21¢	0.0¢	-$26
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in July?Finance	NoResolved	$9	16¢	0.0¢	-$9
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Politics	NoResolved	$7	21¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in July?Finance	NoResolved	$17	26¢	0.0¢	-$17

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$165

Politics-$69

World Cup+$53

Crypto-$46

Tech-$43

Weather+$42

Mentions-$41

Other sports-$19

Formula 1-$13

Culture-$9

eSports-$8

Biggest hit

+$405

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?

Toughest beat

-$207

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on May 3?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?$243h ago
Sold Yes · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$1312h ago
Bought Yes · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$1413h ago
Sold No · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$1113h ago
Bought No · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$713h ago
Bought No · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$714h ago
Bought Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?$2715h ago
Sold No · Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?$618h ago
Bought No · Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?$522h ago
Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$01d ago
Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix?$131d ago