← Whale Watch

HardlyDifficult

Predicting since Jan 2025203 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
No Opensea token launch by July?CryptoYesResolved$632¢100¢+$13
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?PoliticsYesResolved$1593¢100¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYesResolved$342¢100¢+$4
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$587¢100¢+$1
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$588¢100¢+$1
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$588¢100¢+$1
Tether insolvent in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$591¢100¢+$0
Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$591¢100¢+$0
Weed rescheduled in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$473¢100¢+$1
Will Ukraine join NATO before July?PoliticsNoResolved$596¢100¢+$0
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $15b or more one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$596¢100¢+$0
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$597¢100¢+$0
Will Trump jail Kamala Harris?PoliticsNoResolved$597¢100¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$483¢100¢+$1
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $5-10b one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$385¢100¢+$1
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$391¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk buy a sports team before July?Other sportsNoResolved$392¢100¢+$0
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$263¢100¢+$1
US recession in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$281¢100¢+$0
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$281¢100¢+$0
USDT depeg in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$285¢100¢+$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNoResolved$286¢100¢+$0
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$143¢100¢+$1
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$288¢100¢+$0
Sam Altman arrested before July?TechNoResolved$294¢100¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$298¢100¢+$0
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$162¢100¢+$1
Supreme Court vacancy in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$170¢100¢+$0
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?PoliticsNoResolved$172¢100¢+$0
Will Bezos announce Washington Post sale in 2025?FinanceNoResolved$178¢100¢+$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$180¢100¢+$0
New pandemic in 2025?TechNoResolved$181¢100¢+$0
Cardano ETF in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$182¢100¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$182¢100¢+$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$185¢100¢+$0
Britney Spears tour in 2025?CultureNoResolved$186¢100¢+$0
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$188¢100¢+$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$189¢100¢+$0
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?CryptoNoResolved$190¢100¢+$0
Gavin Newsom recalled before July?PoliticsNoResolved$195¢100¢+$0
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢100¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?FinanceYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?TechYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$557¢0.0¢-$5
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?TechYesResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?TechYesResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?PoliticsYesResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?PoliticsYesResolved$560¢0.0¢-$5
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYesResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?PoliticsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?PoliticsYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
US national Solana reserve in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$811¢0.0¢-$8
Congressional term limits in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
US government shutdown in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$285¢0.0¢-$2
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?TechYesResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
X allowed to operate in China before May?PoliticsYesResolved$255.0¢0.0¢-$25
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$109.8¢0.0¢-$10
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$265¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$613¢0.0¢-$6
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$1059¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$181
Mentions-$79
Tech-$26
Weather-$17
Economy+$3
Finance-$2
Other+$2
Crypto-$1
Culture-$0
Other sports+$0
Biggest hit
+$54
Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?
Toughest beat
-$50
Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Berachain's FDV be $3-5b 1 day after launch?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Trump positive favorability on February 1?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week? $01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico in his first week? $01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Ethereum all time high by March 31?$01y ago