DumbMoney1

Predicting since Dec 2020763 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $48K on Politics markets since Dec 2020.

Right now: $15K riding on Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?.

Biggest hit: +$32K on Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$4.7K	94¢	99¢	+$240
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	Yes	$162	2.7¢	1.2¢	-$90
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?NBA	NoResolved	$2.6K	20¢	0.0¢	-$2.6K
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Politics	YesResolved	$39	11¢	0.0¢	-$39
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$565	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$565
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics	YesResolved	$833	17¢	0.0¢	-$833
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?NBA	YesResolved	$213	15¢	0.0¢	-$213
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$2	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$2
Nara & Lucky divorce in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$31	11¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics	YesResolved	$296	12¢	0.0¢	-$296
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$389	38¢	0.0¢	-$389
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$150	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$150
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics	NoResolved	$343	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$343
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?NBA	YesResolved	$44	23¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$18	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?NFL	NoResolved	$60	34¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics	YesResolved	$31	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?Economy	YesResolved	$97	12¢	0.0¢	-$97
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$1.6K	5.6¢	0.0¢	-$1.6K
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$18	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?NBA	YesResolved	$1.2K	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$1.2K
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Politics	YesResolved	$15K	58¢	0.0¢	-$15K
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics	YesResolved	$443	9.9¢	0.0¢	-$443
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$405	14¢	0.0¢	-$405
Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?NBA	YesResolved	$4	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?NBA	YesResolved	$118	14¢	0.0¢	-$118
Will 25 or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$17	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$17
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture	NoResolved	$15	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will 22-24 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$33	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$33
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics	NoResolved	$101	8.2¢	0.0¢	-$101
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1.0K	11¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?Economy	YesResolved	$323	14¢	0.0¢	-$323
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics	YesResolved	$43	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$43
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$30	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$48K

Culture+$44K

Other sports-$34K

Economy+$26K

Olympics+$13K

Crypto-$12K

Other+$8.6K

Finance+$6.8K

College Football+$5.3K

NBA-$4.5K

Boxing+$3.5K

NFL+$1.4K

Biggest hit

+$32K

Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?

Toughest beat

-$34K

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$12312d ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$612d ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$512d ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$012d ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$112d ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$2512d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$4.7K18d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$3.0K18d ago
Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$482mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$62mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$2032mo ago
Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$412mo ago