 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $38 | 34¢ | 84¢ | +$55 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $49 | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
 Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 19¢ | 63¢ | +$22 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $30 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 45¢ | 63¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 63¢ | 57¢ | -$3 |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Politics | Yes | $20 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $41 | 30¢ | 17¢ | -$19 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 19¢ | 42¢ | +$11 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 39¢ | 39¢ | -$0 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 5.4¢ | 5.3¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $10 | 27¢ | 45¢ | +$6 |
 Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Politics | Yes | $19 | 50¢ | 40¢ | -$4 |
 Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Culture | Yes | $10 | 54¢ | 82¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 53¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$4 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 74¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South?NFL | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
 Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 69¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 62¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $10 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
 Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Premier League | Yes | $10 | 27¢ | 29¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.8¢ | 8.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | No | $10 | 68¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $10 | 77¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $10 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 6.8¢ | 6.6¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $9 | 56¢ | 54¢ | -$0 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $9 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 62¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 79¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $10 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 55¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $9 | 63¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 82¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 73¢ | 61¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $10 | 59¢ | 48¢ | -$2 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$2 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $10 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$2 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $10 | 9.5¢ | 7.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $10 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 26¢ | -$3 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 41¢ | 26¢ | -$4 |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $10 | 7.3¢ | 4.5¢ | -$4 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 8.3¢ | -$4 |
 Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $10 | 53¢ | 31¢ | -$4 |
 Will Capitão Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 15¢ | -$4 |
 Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $10 | 9.0¢ | 5.0¢ | -$4 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 22¢ | 8.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $10 | 18¢ | 4.3¢ | -$7 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $1 | 10¢ | 10¢ | +$0 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?$016h ago
Sold No · Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?$120h ago
Cashed out Aurora · Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$021h ago
Sold Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$822h ago
Sold Yes · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?$123h ago