 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Weather | Yes | $22 | 9.0¢ | 8.3¢ | -$2 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | Yes | $50 | 10¢ | 4.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $56 | 18¢ | 3.9¢ | -$44 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 60¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $28 | 47¢ | 17¢ | -$18 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 39¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 35¢ | +$4 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $35 | 56¢ | 14¢ | -$26 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $5 | 46¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $44 | 40¢ | 6.5¢ | -$37 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 51¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Culture | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | Yes | $33 | 26¢ | 5.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | Yes | $22 | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | -$16 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$6 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 44¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 62¢ | 24¢ | -$7 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 51¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 42¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
 LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?Politics | Yes | $1 | 7.0¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 12¢ | 2.6¢ | -$9 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 16¢ | 3.1¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 4.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.8¢ | 2.9¢ | -$3 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 28¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 37¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 4.5¢ | -$4 |
 Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 3.6¢ | -$4 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 4.3¢ | -$2 |
 Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?Weather | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 4.6¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $3 | 42¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 2.1¢ | -$4 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | Yes | $14 | 9.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$13 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $44 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Megaquake by August 31?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Megaquake by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $22 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Macron out by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Megaquake by July 31?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHL | YesResolved | $3 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Graham Platner charged by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the Philippines by August 31?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Cashed out Yes · Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Japan by August 31?$54d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$16d ago