← Whale Watch

satoshiAncap

Predicting since Feb 202585 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $507K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $174K riding on Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?.

Biggest hit: +$307K on Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$6808.2¢0.0¢-$680
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$21K7.8¢0.0¢-$21K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$3.2K12¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2834.0¢0.0¢-$283
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 23?PoliticsYesResolved$10K1.9¢0.0¢-$10K
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$23K5.6¢0.0¢-$23K
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$24528¢0.0¢-$245
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$63.8¢0.0¢-$6
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$5.6K17¢0.0¢-$5.6K
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?PoliticsYesResolved$102.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?EconomyNoResolved$2033.9¢0.0¢-$203
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2578.5¢0.0¢-$257
ECB rate cut in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$10.0K20¢0.0¢-$10.0K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$45K4.4¢0.0¢-$45K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$38K14¢0.0¢-$38K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$8875.5¢0.0¢-$887
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?PoliticsYesResolved$2.8K25¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionPoliticsNoResolved$3.4K22¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberPoliticsNoResolved$9629.9¢0.0¢-$962
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$61K11¢0.0¢-$61K
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$9.1K19¢0.0¢-$9.1K
Russia announces air truce by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K8.0¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?PoliticsYesResolved$40K5.3¢0.0¢-$40K
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$30025¢0.0¢-$300
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥50.0% on December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$31.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$18K12¢0.0¢-$18K
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$40K12¢0.0¢-$40K
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1075.2¢0.0¢-$107
Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11K4.1¢0.0¢-$11K
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$174K14¢0.0¢-$174K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$30K7.6¢0.0¢-$30K
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$31K7.3¢0.0¢-$31K
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$26K6.1¢0.0¢-$26K
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?EconomyYesResolved$611.8¢0.0¢-$61
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?PoliticsYesResolved$3.6K76¢0.0¢-$3.6K
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2.9K8.5¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?PoliticsYesResolved$753.1¢0.0¢-$75
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4.7K79¢0.0¢-$4.7K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$31K11¢0.0¢-$31K
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on August 22?PoliticsYesResolved$31.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$11K55¢0.0¢-$11K
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$861.6¢0.0¢-$86
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?PoliticsYesResolved$1321.9¢0.0¢-$132
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$7.0K10¢0.0¢-$7.0K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$1027.6¢0.0¢-$102
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3086.6¢0.0¢-$308
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?EconomyNoResolved$310.0¢0.0¢-$3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 23?PoliticsYesResolved$17K1.9¢0.0¢-$17K
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?PoliticsYesResolved$2.6K3.1¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?PoliticsYesResolved$6922.3¢0.0¢-$692
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11K8.6¢0.0¢-$11K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?PoliticsYesResolved$13K3.5¢0.0¢-$13K
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$6570.4¢0.0¢-$657
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in August?PoliticsYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$8.2K35¢0.0¢-$8.2K
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5.0K5.0¢0.0¢-$5.0K
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$7.4K13¢0.0¢-$7.4K
Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K13¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$32K36¢0.0¢-$32K
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$20K7.3¢0.0¢-$20K
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7702.0¢0.0¢-$770
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4046.9¢0.0¢-$404
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?PoliticsYesResolved$781.7¢0.0¢-$78
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$7.9K7.9¢0.0¢-$7.9K
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?TechYesResolved$10K21¢0.0¢-$10K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$507K
Tech-$10K
Economy-$10K
Crypto-$102
Biggest hit
+$307K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Toughest beat
-$31K
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$07d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.4K5mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.5K5mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$7.2K5mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1865mo ago