Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $808 | 43¢ | 21¢ | -$418 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $26 | 13¢ | 42¢ | +$57 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 5.7¢ | 4.8¢ | -$4 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | Yes | $44 | 44¢ | 6.5¢ | -$38 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $67 | 23¢ | 2.1¢ | -$61 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.8¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 3.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$12 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 1.6¢ | -$17 |
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | NoResolved | $30 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $26 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $44 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $286 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$286 |
Will GMR Solutions' market cap be between $5.0B and $5.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $26 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $90 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $116 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World Cup | YesResolved | $28 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $51 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $86 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | NoResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $95 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Politics | NoResolved | $101 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $14 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $61 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World Cup | NoResolved | $21 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Politics | NoResolved | $88 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $90 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $28 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?Finance | DownResolved | $3 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $66 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $485 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$485 |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $256 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$256 |
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Politics | YesResolved | $223 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$223 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $48 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $16 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Lakers vs. ThunderNBA | LakersResolved | $60 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Politics | YesResolved | $76 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Politics | YesResolved | $107 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $70 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $22 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |