← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jan 2026224 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $808 riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$80843¢21¢-$418
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$2613¢42¢+$57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$235.7¢4.8¢-$4
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$4444¢6.5¢-$38
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$6723¢2.1¢-$61
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$71.8¢0.9¢-$3
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$153.0¢0.7¢-$12
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$2010¢1.6¢-$17
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsNoResolved$301.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$2617¢0.0¢-$26
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2412¢0.0¢-$24
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$4412¢0.0¢-$44
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$28622¢0.0¢-$286
Will GMR Solutions' market cap be between $5.0B and $5.5B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$267.8¢0.0¢-$26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$9018¢0.0¢-$90
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$11645¢0.0¢-$116
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$403.3¢0.0¢-$40
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$397.7¢0.0¢-$39
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World CupYesResolved$2814¢0.0¢-$28
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$161.8¢0.0¢-$16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5113¢0.0¢-$51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$60.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?PoliticsYesResolved$4422¢0.0¢-$44
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsNoResolved$861.7¢0.0¢-$86
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$124.0¢0.0¢-$12
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$9511¢0.0¢-$95
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$400.4¢0.0¢-$40
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?PoliticsNoResolved$10122¢0.0¢-$101
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$84.0¢0.0¢-$8
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$100.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$122.4¢0.0¢-$12
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$110.8¢0.0¢-$11
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$147.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$617.6¢0.0¢-$61
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World CupNoResolved$2111¢0.0¢-$21
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?TechYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?PoliticsNoResolved$887.3¢0.0¢-$88
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$900.6¢0.0¢-$90
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?TechYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$2856¢0.0¢-$28
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2211¢0.0¢-$22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$41.9¢0.0¢-$4
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$157.6¢0.0¢-$15
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?TechYesResolved$41.0¢0.0¢-$4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$43.7¢0.0¢-$4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?FinanceDownResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$204.0¢0.0¢-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$6633¢0.0¢-$66
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?PoliticsNoResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$48557¢0.0¢-$485
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$193.3¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?PoliticsNoResolved$509.0¢0.0¢-$50
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$167.8¢0.0¢-$16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$25632¢0.0¢-$256
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?EconomyYesResolved$76.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?TechNoResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?PoliticsYesResolved$22317¢0.0¢-$223
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$489.0¢0.0¢-$48
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$50.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?TechNoResolved$1621¢0.0¢-$16
Lakers vs. ThunderNBALakersResolved$6015¢0.0¢-$60
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?PoliticsYesResolved$92.9¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$201.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? PoliticsYesResolved$7615¢0.0¢-$76
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$10727¢0.0¢-$107
Will Trump visit China by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$300.1¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$708.7¢0.0¢-$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$224.9¢0.0¢-$22
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3612¢0.0¢-$36

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$840
Finance-$380
Mentions+$304
Politics-$128
Crypto-$113
Weather+$105
Economy-$103
World Cup-$101
Champions League-$91
NBA-$88
Culture-$37
Biggest hit
+$1.8K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$432
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Recent moves

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  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$42d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$12d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$02d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$02d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$22d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$382d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$32d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$32d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$622d ago