← Whale Watch
doyouwanttogotothemoon
Up $9.8K on Politics markets since May 2026.
Biggest hit: +$3.8K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $78 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $1 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 58¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will James Settelmeyer be the Republican nominee for NV-02?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Mentions | NoResolved | $24 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $56 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$9.8K
Other+$630
Crypto+$456
Tech+$213
World Cup+$34
Mentions-$24
Culture+$15
Biggest hit
+$3.8K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$202
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent moves
Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$02d ago
Sold Yes · Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?$883d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$2905d ago- Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$05d ago
- Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$76d ago
- Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$56d ago
- Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$356d ago
- Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$206d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Jonathan Reynolds be in the Burnham cabinet?$66d ago
Sold Yes · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$1266d ago
Sold No · Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$266d ago- Sold Yes · Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?$2526d ago