 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $73 | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$18 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $55 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 33¢ | 58¢ | +$25 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $22 | 28¢ | 36¢ | +$6 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $16 | 39¢ | 23¢ | -$7 |
 Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Spread: France (-1.5)World Cup | SenegalResolved | $1 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World Cup | AlgeriaResolved | $2 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5)World Cup | JordanResolved | $1 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $1 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $1 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?Crypto | NoResolved | $8 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Spread: England (-1.5)World Cup | CroatiaResolved | $1 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5)World Cup | IraqResolved | $1 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $1 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)World Cup | AlgeriaResolved | $1 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$11d ago
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