paprikc

Predicting since Aug 202537 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$74	8.2¢	7.8¢	-$3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$60	1.4¢	1.1¢	-$11
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$33	16¢	16¢	-$1
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Tech	Yes	$30	38¢	36¢	-$2
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics	Yes	$50	8.4¢	4.5¢	-$23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech	Yes	$20	5.9¢	6.7¢	+$3
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics	Yes	$20	24¢	23¢	-$1
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	2.4¢	4.4¢	+$8
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Politics	Yes	$10	38¢	68¢	+$8
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech	OpenAI	$20	10¢	7.5¢	-$5
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics	Yes	$15	11¢	8.5¢	-$3
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Politics	Yes	$10	24¢	27¢	+$1
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	2.6¢	2.8¢	+$1
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics	Yes	$10	17¢	17¢	+$0
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics	No	$10	48¢	47¢	-$0
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	7.7¢	7.5¢	-$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	29¢	25¢	-$2
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	5.7¢	4.8¢	-$2
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	35¢	21¢	-$4
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics	Yes	$10	8.1¢	4.7¢	-$4
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	Yes	$5	16¢	12¢	-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	Yes	$4	30¢	22¢	-$1
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Politics	Yes	$5	11¢	6.0¢	-$2
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$2	35¢	37¢	+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	No	$2	17¢	13¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$80

Tech-$11

Biggest hit

+$40

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$20

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?$3141m ago
Bought Yes · Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?$1042m ago
Bought OpenAI · Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?$212d ago
Bought Yes · Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?$102d ago
Bought Yes · Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?$102d ago
Bought Yes · Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$102d ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$102d ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$83d ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$313d ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$263d ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$213d ago
Bought Yes · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$103d ago