paprikc

Predicting since Aug 202519 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics	No	$50	55¢	99¢	+$40
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics	No	$10	48¢	49¢	+$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	Yes	$5	16¢	21¢	+$1
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Politics	Yes	$5	11¢	10¢	-$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$4	16¢	13¢	-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	Yes	$4	30¢	21¢	-$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	No	$2	17¢	21¢	+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$2	35¢	34¢	-$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics	Yes	$3	2.2¢	0.9¢	-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$18	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	7.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	19¢	0.0¢	-$20
Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$4	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$10	16¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$2

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$44

Toughest beat

-$18

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$11mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$201mo ago
Sold No · Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$221mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$41mo ago
Bought No · Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$401mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$301mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$41mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$21mo ago