 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | OpenAI | $100 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$7 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $100 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$45 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $50 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Tech | No | $20 | 53¢ | 62¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAI | $30 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$15 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$11 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $30 | 6.1¢ | 1.7¢ | -$22 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | -$16 |
 Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Mentions | NoResolved | $50 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $50 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Mentions | YesResolved | $50 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Weather | YesResolved | $27 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Critical Discord Incident by May 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $75 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
| Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Mentions | YesResolved | $50 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Trump say "Trump Kennedy Center" or "Trump-Kennedy Center" in May?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $29 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $120 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |