← Whale Watch
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All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?World Cup | YesResolved | $21 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Tech-$231
World Cup-$40
Politics-$30
Biggest hit
+$137
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
Toughest beat
-$250
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Recent moves
- Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?$418d ago
Sold Yes · Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?$418d ago- Bought Yes · Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?$722d ago
- Sold Yes · Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?$724d ago
- Bought Yes · Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?$1325d ago
- Sold Yes · Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?$1325d ago
- Bought Yes · Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?$1925d ago
- Sold Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?$1929d ago
- Bought Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?$229d ago
- Sold No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?$229d ago
- Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?$111mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?$881mo ago