← Whale Watch

merlin4

Predicting since Apr 2026362 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4016¢0.0¢-$40
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?PoliticsYesResolved$2038¢0.0¢-$20
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5NBAUnderResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8538¢0.0¢-$85
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)NBAWarriorsResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?eSportsYesResolved$3126¢0.0¢-$31
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)NBALakersResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?CultureYesResolved$5034¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?WeatherYesResolved$2516¢0.0¢-$25
Sao Leopoldo: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo AcostaTennisJuan Pablo VarillasResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1035¢0.0¢-$10
Kings vs. RaptorsNBARaptorsResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)MLBLos Angeles DodgersResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$1931¢0.0¢-$19
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Barletta: Laurent Lokoli vs Lorenzo GiustinoTennisLaurent LokoliResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$594¢0.0¢-$5
Lakers vs. ThunderNBALakersResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 147.5Basketball (other)OverResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Champions LeagueYesResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden GophersBasketball (other)Minnesota Golden GophersResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo BerrettiniTennisJacopo BerrettiniResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Premier LeagueYesResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump visit China by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1619¢0.0¢-$16
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?EconomyYesResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?PoliticsYesResolved$642¢0.0¢-$6
Blues vs. KingsNHLBluesResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)MLBTampa Bay RaysResolved$2663¢0.0¢-$26
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?PoliticsNoResolved$2170¢0.0¢-$21
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh BasavareddyTennisNishesh BasavareddyResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs James Kent TrotterTennisJames Kent TrotterResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas MachacTennisTomas MachacResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Qatar" during Address to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$267¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYesResolved$3821¢0.0¢-$38
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)eSportsDplus KIAResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Braden ShickTennisBraden ShickResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles DodgersMLBLos Angeles DodgersResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Nuggets (-17.5)NBANuggetsResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$1557¢0.0¢-$15
Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos PradoTennisJuan Carlos PradoResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances TiafoeTennisRinky HijikataResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom GentzschTennisTom GentzschResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)NBAWarriorsResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2838¢0.0¢-$28
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-16?MLSYesResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$312¢0.0¢-$3
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5NBAUnderResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$584¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)NBANuggetsResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)NBAWarriorsResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2246¢0.0¢-$22
Miyazaki: Omar Jasika vs Yu-Hsiou HsuTennisOmar JasikaResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5NBAOverResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureNoResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?CultureNoResolved$3259¢0.0¢-$32
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?EconomyYesResolved$449¢0.0¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?FinanceYesResolved$2034¢0.0¢-$20
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Pacers vs. BullsNBABullsResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?PoliticsNoResolved$735¢0.0¢-$7
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3830¢0.0¢-$38
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy PaulTennisAdolfo VallejoResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Credit One Charleston Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Renata ZarazuaTennisHailey BaptisteResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1121¢0.0¢-$11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11138¢0.0¢-$111
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?PoliticsNoResolved$1929¢0.0¢-$19
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?eSportsYesResolved$2430¢0.0¢-$24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$2017¢0.0¢-$20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$1421¢0.0¢-$14

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$549
Culture-$90
Weather+$89
Finance-$65
eSports-$54
Economy+$52
Champions League+$38
Crypto-$35
MLB-$29
Other sports+$21
Tech-$13
Mentions+$12
Biggest hit
+$102
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?
Toughest beat
-$87
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$41mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$101mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$181mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$52mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out Ivan Erslan · UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$52mo ago
  • Bought Ivan Erslan · UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$32mo ago
  • Bought No · Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$52mo ago
  • Sold No · Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?$22mo ago
  • Sold No · Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$52mo ago
  • Bought No · Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?$22mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$12mo ago