Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $94 | 63¢ | 91¢ | +$42 |
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Politics | No | $105 | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$24 |
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $69 | 69¢ | 91¢ | +$21 |
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Tech | No | $86 | 73¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $72 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$8 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $54 | 64¢ | 95¢ | +$26 |
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Tech | No | $53 | 54¢ | 82¢ | +$27 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $70 | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$8 |
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Anthropic + OpenAI | $104 | 62¢ | 40¢ | -$37 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $54 | 72¢ | 89¢ | +$13 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $51 | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$13 |
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $68 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$4 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $43 | 8.6¢ | 12¢ | +$16 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $46 | 71¢ | 85¢ | +$9 |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 57¢ | 92¢ | +$19 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $50 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Tech | No | $55 | 72¢ | 65¢ | -$6 |
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $39 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$5 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $37 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $21 | 53¢ | 48¢ | -$2 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $36 | 72¢ | 36¢ | -$18 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $20 | 78¢ | 60¢ | -$5 |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $12 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 61¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $9 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 49¢ | 19¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
XRP Up or Down - July 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $7 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $16 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $9 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $15 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $24 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $16 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $9 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $13 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $27 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?Other sports | YesResolved | $7 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazTennis | Carlos AlcarazResolved | $20 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $14 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $7 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda NoskovaTennis | Marta KostyukResolved | $6 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $12 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $9 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
XRP Up or Down - August 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerTennis | AlcarazResolved | $31 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |