alohapancake94

Predicting since Jun 202544 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather	Yes	$30	7.4¢	3.4¢	-$16
Will the US strike Iran next?Politics	YesResolved	$17	17¢	0.0¢	-$17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$17	17¢	0.0¢	-$17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$137	46¢	0.0¢	-$137
US strikes Yemen before August?Politics	YesResolved	$15	24¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$42	42¢	0.0¢	-$42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$96	24¢	0.0¢	-$96
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$28	28¢	0.0¢	-$28
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$138	46¢	0.0¢	-$138
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Politics	NoResolved	$59	59¢	0.0¢	-$59
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$67	67¢	0.0¢	-$67
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$225	22¢	0.0¢	-$225
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?Politics	YesResolved	$3	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$68	68¢	0.0¢	-$68
Iran Nuke in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$12	12¢	0.0¢	-$12
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Politics	NoResolved	$40	40¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$14	14¢	0.0¢	-$14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$14	14¢	0.0¢	-$14
Netanyahu out by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$11	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$282	71¢	0.0¢	-$282
Will the US strike Syria next?Politics	YesResolved	$11	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$11
US military action on Yemen before July?Politics	YesResolved	$32	32¢	0.0¢	-$32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Politics	YesResolved	$36	18¢	0.0¢	-$36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$99	33¢	0.0¢	-$99
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Politics	YesResolved	$28	28¢	0.0¢	-$28

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$491

Weather-$16

Biggest hit

+$735

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Toughest beat

-$343

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$01mo ago
Bought No · Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$291mo ago
Bought No · Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$01mo ago
Bought No · Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$21mo ago
Bought No · Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$41mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$4971mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$5001mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$31mo ago
Bought Yes · Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$21mo ago
Bought No · Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$111mo ago