aviax

Predicting since Sep 202627 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$6	83¢	80¢	-$0
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $70 in 2026?Tech	No	$5	81¢	84¢	+$0
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Tech	Yes	$5	92¢	94¢	+$0
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?Tech	YesResolved	$5	92¢	100¢	+$0
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Tech	Yes	$5	98¢	97¢	-$0
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Politics	No	$5	94¢	93¢	-$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$5	87¢	82¢	-$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics	Yes	$3	91¢	96¢	+$0
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics	No	$3	96¢	98¢	+$0
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics	No	$3	85¢	85¢	-$0
Will GPT Sol 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027?Tech	Yes	$3	85¢	71¢	-$1
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech	No	$2	78¢	74¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	71¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	71¢	0.0¢	-$1

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$6

Politics-$0

Tech+$0

Biggest hit

+$6

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Toughest beat

-$5

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Sold No · Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$12d ago
Sold Yes · Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$22d ago
Bought No · Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$12d ago
Bought Yes · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$12d ago
Bought No · Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?$12d ago
Bought Anthropic · Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?$12d ago
Bought No · US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?$12d ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$02d ago
Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$02d ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$12d ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?$62d ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$12d ago