← Whale Watch

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409 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $14K on Politics markets.

Right now: $8.3K riding on Which party will win the House in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$25K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$8.3K83¢86¢+$250
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$7.0K45¢44¢-$234
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$2.4K53¢97¢+$2.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.7K27¢43¢+$1.6K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$00.0¢44¢+$3.2K
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$2.9K37¢38¢+$96
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$1.2K53¢98¢+$1.0K
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1.3K42¢63¢+$620
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.3K31¢44¢+$527
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K69¢66¢-$78
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1.7K57¢56¢-$30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$46315¢43¢+$866
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$54121¢35¢+$370
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$62849¢67¢+$224
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$60048¢60¢+$152
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.3K24¢6.5¢-$1.7K
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$60056¢57¢+$14
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$40741¢44¢+$28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$39479¢82¢+$18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$34740¢46¢+$49
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsNo$40079¢79¢-$4
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?PoliticsNo$39875¢75¢-$4
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$50047¢34¢-$133
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$40042¢38¢-$41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$25069¢99¢+$108
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$32487¢95¢+$29
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$55539¢24¢-$217
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$22066¢99¢+$110
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$30991¢91¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?PoliticsYes$31091¢89¢-$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$25012¢14¢+$52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$21944¢61¢+$82
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$30073¢73¢+$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$23728¢26¢-$16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$14446¢69¢+$73
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15318¢23¢+$42
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$17593¢97¢+$8
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$20011¢9.5¢-$27
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1791.0¢0.9¢-$9
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1005.2¢8.5¢+$63
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$14271¢80¢+$18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$55017¢4.8¢-$398
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$24911¢5.0¢-$131
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsYes$12171¢69¢-$4
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$6248¢85¢+$47
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$10023¢24¢+$2
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$00.0¢43¢+$98
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?PoliticsYes$7970¢77¢+$7
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$7738¢42¢+$7
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$00.0¢17¢+$82
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?PoliticsNo$8070¢71¢+$2
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7474¢79¢+$5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$5983¢96¢+$8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$4322¢33¢+$22
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsNo$10443¢27¢-$40
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$3046¢89¢+$29
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?TechYes$4717¢21¢+$11
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?PoliticsYes$2927¢47¢+$21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsYes$3978¢90¢+$6
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?PoliticsNo$3884¢89¢+$2
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$4714¢11¢-$12
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$3090¢91¢+$0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$8219¢6.3¢-$54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2760¢57¢-$1
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?PoliticsYes$3212¢8.0¢-$10
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?WeatherNo$143.0¢4.1¢+$5
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$1280¢84¢+$1
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$112.9¢1.7¢-$5
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?TechYes$859¢47¢-$2
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsNo$566¢71¢+$0
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechYes$1239¢18¢-$6
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBAYes$3.6K36¢0.1¢-$3.6K
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechNo$541¢19¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$14K
World Cup+$4.3K
NBA-$3.6K
Tech+$3.5K
Crypto+$2.9K
Finance-$753
Culture+$683
Tennis-$600
eSports-$274
Mentions+$261
NFL+$224
UFC / MMA+$214
Biggest hit
+$25K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$15K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$7341m ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$831h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$31h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$11h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$841h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1711h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$4492h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$36h ago
  • Sold Yes · NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?$07h ago