Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $8.3K | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$250 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $7.0K | 45¢ | 44¢ | -$234 |
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $2.4K | 53¢ | 97¢ | +$2.0K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $2.7K | 27¢ | 43¢ | +$1.6K |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 44¢ | +$3.2K |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $2.9K | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$96 |
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $1.2K | 53¢ | 98¢ | +$1.0K |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1.3K | 42¢ | 63¢ | +$620 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 31¢ | 44¢ | +$527 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$78 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$30 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $463 | 15¢ | 43¢ | +$866 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $541 | 21¢ | 35¢ | +$370 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $628 | 49¢ | 67¢ | +$224 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $600 | 48¢ | 60¢ | +$152 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.7K |
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $600 | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$14 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $407 | 41¢ | 44¢ | +$28 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $394 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$18 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $347 | 40¢ | 46¢ | +$49 |
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $400 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$4 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?Politics | No | $398 | 75¢ | 75¢ | -$4 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $500 | 47¢ | 34¢ | -$133 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $400 | 42¢ | 38¢ | -$41 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $250 | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$108 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $324 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$29 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $555 | 39¢ | 24¢ | -$217 |
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Politics | No | $220 | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$110 |
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $309 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?Politics | Yes | $310 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$6 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $250 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$52 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $219 | 44¢ | 61¢ | +$82 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $300 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $237 | 28¢ | 26¢ | -$16 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $144 | 46¢ | 69¢ | +$73 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $153 | 18¢ | 23¢ | +$42 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $175 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $200 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$27 |
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $179 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$9 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 5.2¢ | 8.5¢ | +$63 |
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | Yes | $142 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$18 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $550 | 17¢ | 4.8¢ | -$398 |
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | Yes | $249 | 11¢ | 5.0¢ | -$131 |
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $121 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | Yes | $62 | 48¢ | 85¢ | +$47 |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $100 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 43¢ | +$98 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | Yes | $79 | 70¢ | 77¢ | +$7 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 38¢ | 42¢ | +$7 |
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 17¢ | +$82 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $80 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$5 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 22¢ | 33¢ | +$22 |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | No | $104 | 43¢ | 27¢ | -$40 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | No | $30 | 46¢ | 89¢ | +$29 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $47 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$11 |
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Politics | Yes | $29 | 27¢ | 47¢ | +$21 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | Yes | $39 | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Politics | No | $38 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $47 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$12 |
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | Yes | $82 | 19¢ | 6.3¢ | -$54 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 60¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics | Yes | $32 | 12¢ | 8.0¢ | -$10 |
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Weather | No | $14 | 3.0¢ | 4.1¢ | +$5 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $11 | 2.9¢ | 1.7¢ | -$5 |
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?Tech | Yes | $8 | 59¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | No | $5 | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 39¢ | 18¢ | -$6 |
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $3.6K | 36¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3.6K |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 41¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |