 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $603 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$76 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Elon Musk say "AGI / Artificial General Intelligence" during the August 6 AMA?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on July 30?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Sunday?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions | NoResolved | $18 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics | DownResolved | $4 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics | DownResolved | $6 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 7PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 "Him" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in August?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 2PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $8 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" during September?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Trump restores local control of DC Police by August 31? Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–264 times August 29–September 5?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the next James Bond be British?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 7AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?Crypto | UpResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon tweet 265–279 times August 29–September 5?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 450–474 times August 15–August 22?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon tweet 290–304 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "ICE" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon tweet 350–364 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Solana reach $200 in August?Crypto | NoResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 7PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $9 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon tweet 320–334 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 4PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $134 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 1PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 8?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will anyone say "Russia" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Philippines President events on July 22?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Crypto | NoResolved | $20 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $54 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Ethereum all time high before 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $8 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Elon tweet 340–354 times August 29–September 5?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 1PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $14 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Alexandria" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 11AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (August 25 - 31)Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 8PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Grok" 5 or more times during the August 6 AMA?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 7PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Ethereum above $4800 on August 15?Crypto | YesResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 6AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 12PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 1AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Will Elon tweet 220–234 times August 29–September 5?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "AIPAC" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?Politics | ZelenskyyResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 7AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Mentions | YesResolved | $9 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion 10+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 July 28–August 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $9 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |