← Whale Watch

BigMikeBeliever

Predicting since Jun 202436 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $518K on Politics markets since Jun 2024.

Right now: $222K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$10K on Biden drops out of presidential race?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Biden finish his term?PoliticsNoResolved$15K56¢0.0¢-$15K
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$4.6K1.9¢0.0¢-$4.6K
Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?PoliticsYesResolved$5.8K1.4¢0.0¢-$5.8K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10000.3¢0.0¢-$1000
Will Michael Flynn win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K5.3¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$168K5.2¢0.0¢-$168K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K1.7¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$20K0.7¢0.0¢-$20K
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$5000.2¢0.0¢-$500
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?PoliticsYesResolved$13K0.9¢0.0¢-$13K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.1¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K0.3¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$2.5K0.8¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$10000.3¢0.0¢-$1000
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$4.0K2.1¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K13¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Kamala president by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$7.0K8.4¢0.0¢-$7.0K
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K0.6¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?PoliticsNoResolved$32K4.9¢0.0¢-$32K
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K3.9¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K0.8¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.2K0.3¢0.0¢-$2.2K
[Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$45015¢0.0¢-$450
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.1K0.9¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$97K11¢0.0¢-$97K
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K0.5¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$330.2¢0.0¢-$33
Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$11K0.5¢0.0¢-$11K
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$6.5K6.5¢0.0¢-$6.5K
Will Biden resign during his speech today?PoliticsYesResolved$3001.1¢0.0¢-$300
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$11K5.2¢0.0¢-$11K
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K0.4¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$90K0.9¢0.0¢-$90K
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K5.4¢0.0¢-$1.2K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$518K
Biggest hit
+$10K
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Toughest beat
-$7.9K
Biden drops out by July 4?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.4K1y ago
  • Bought No · No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$10001y ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$5001y ago
  • Bought No · No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$3.0K1y ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.0K1y ago
  • Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.0K1y ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.0K1y ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.0K1y ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.0K1y ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.0K1y ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$11y ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$01y ago