returntosender

Predicting since Apr 202623 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$10	7.6¢	22¢	+$19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$20	19¢	21¢	+$2
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	36¢	33¢	-$1
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture	Yes	$10	15¢	9.5¢	-$3
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	54¢	34¢	-$4
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	37¢	21¢	-$4
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	Yes	$10	40¢	21¢	-$5
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	44¢	19¢	-$6
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$10	27¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	19¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Tech	YesResolved	$10	25¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?Tech	YesResolved	$10	18¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	23¢	0.0¢	-$10
Iran leadership change by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	20¢	0.0¢	-$10
Iran leadership change by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$21

Politics+$20

Economy+$15

Other sports+$10

Culture-$3

Biggest hit

+$75

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$251mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?$301mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?$201mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$201mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$171mo ago