← Whale Watch

mountaindewd

Predicting since Sep 2023664 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $112K on Politics markets since Sep 2023.

Right now: $6.6K across 4 World Cup markets.

Biggest hit: +$24K on Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3.2K59¢92¢+$1.8K
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3.5K89¢91¢+$78
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3.4K56¢56¢+$29
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K71¢89¢+$505
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$1.9K64¢73¢+$284
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K60¢59¢-$37
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.6K27¢24¢-$203
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2K41¢44¢+$84
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$95252¢57¢+$104
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$57057¢92¢+$345
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$66033¢44¢+$210
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$53053¢84¢+$305
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$73742¢44¢+$21
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$3.9K40¢7.5¢-$3.1K
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?PoliticsYes$64881¢87¢+$44
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$57658¢59¢+$5
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$54659¢61¢+$14
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$44589¢92¢+$15
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$25025¢42¢+$170
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$41372¢65¢-$45
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$30953¢49¢-$25
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$25551¢52¢+$3
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$15030¢47¢+$85
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K64¢9.5¢-$1.2K
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$21651¢48¢-$13
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?PoliticsNo$16281¢87¢+$11
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$14529¢23¢-$33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$8517¢13¢-$22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$323.2¢4.9¢+$16
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$12435¢6.0¢-$102
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?CryptoNo$1272¢91¢+$3
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$48022¢0.1¢-$479
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?PoliticsNoResolved$12024¢0.0¢-$120
Will France win on 2026-06-16?World CupNoResolved$73333¢0.0¢-$733
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?World CupNoResolved$1.7K51¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?PoliticsYesResolved$4388.9¢0.0¢-$438
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?PoliticsNoResolved$27853¢0.0¢-$278
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$52018¢0.0¢-$520
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?World CupNoResolved$1.8K41¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1.1K48¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?PoliticsNoResolved$1567.8¢0.0¢-$156
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5World CupUnderResolved$1.9K48¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander BublikTennisAlexander BublikResolved$34431¢0.0¢-$344
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$3.0K71¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$48019¢0.0¢-$480
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?World CupNoResolved$1.2K40¢0.0¢-$1.2K
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$1.3K57¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?World CupNoResolved$1.4K61¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$37834¢0.0¢-$378
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$2.0K45¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?PoliticsNoResolved$86729¢0.0¢-$867
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$46721¢0.0¢-$467
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$70063¢0.0¢-$700
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)World CupMexicoResolved$51123¢0.0¢-$511
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$5728¢0.0¢-$57
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?PoliticsYesResolved$99449¢0.0¢-$994
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.7K8.3¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1.3K39¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?World CupNoResolved$23342¢0.0¢-$233
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?PoliticsYesResolved$2948.2¢0.0¢-$294
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?PoliticsYesResolved$1984.0¢0.0¢-$198
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$1.2K35¢0.0¢-$1.2K
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$62228¢0.0¢-$622
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?PoliticsNoResolved$3.4K52¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$1.3K33¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Spread: France (-1.5)World CupNorwayResolved$2.1K64¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?World CupNoResolved$71132¢0.0¢-$711
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$1.0K46¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$82237¢0.0¢-$822
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)World CupGhanaResolved$42219¢0.0¢-$422
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$31128¢0.0¢-$311
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$2.1K48¢0.0¢-$2.1K
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?CultureYesResolved$2814¢0.0¢-$28
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?PoliticsYesResolved$1284.4¢0.0¢-$128
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$88940¢0.0¢-$889
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAKhamzat ChimaevResolved$2.7K80¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$1.8K55¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$250.8¢0.0¢-$25
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$11715¢0.0¢-$117
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$2.4K54¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1.8K54¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$11552¢0.0¢-$115
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K33¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)World CupUzbekistanResolved$2.1K55¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1.1K49¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$796.4¢0.0¢-$79
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)World CupScotlandResolved$1.2K52¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Spread: Germany (-3.5)World CupCuraçaoResolved$1.1K50¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)World CupIraqResolved$1.3K40¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$1.4K62¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5World CupUnderResolved$2.2K57¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5World CupUnderResolved$1.9K58¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)World CupEcuadorResolved$33315¢0.0¢-$333
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$1.1K51¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$1.2K37¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)World CupHaitiResolved$80036¢0.0¢-$800
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3eSportsBetBoom TeamResolved$42238¢0.0¢-$422
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$17681¢0.0¢-$176
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$2.2K41¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$11739¢0.0¢-$117

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$112K
World Cup-$17K
Crypto+$5.9K
Weather+$4.0K
Soccer (other)+$2.7K
NFL-$2.7K
UFC / MMA-$2.5K
College Hoops-$2.4K
Premier League+$2.4K
Champions League+$2.0K
Tech+$2.0K
Other sports+$2.0K
Biggest hit
+$24K
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Toughest beat
-$7.8K
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$62h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$62h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$1023h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$1423h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$5023h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$423h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$323h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$141d ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$671d ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$31d ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$141d ago