← Whale Watch

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F

Predicting since Nov 20243,818 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?PoliticsNo$26694¢91¢-$10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$18366¢66¢-$1
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$14391¢91¢-$1
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$16123¢16¢-$49
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?TechNo$10684¢83¢-$1
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFLYes$13030¢24¢-$26
Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2eSportsNo$14189¢60¢-$46
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?PoliticsNo$11281¢64¢-$23
Will Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$8694¢90¢-$3
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?PoliticsNo$1128.0¢5.5¢-$35
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? eSportsNo$7784¢79¢-$5
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$6887¢84¢-$2
Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$6939¢34¢-$8
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechNo$7150¢42¢-$12
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$7744¢33¢-$19
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$5989¢88¢-$1
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?EconomyYes$9641¢25¢-$39
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsYes$6668¢59¢-$9
Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFLNo$6644¢36¢-$13
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$5164¢61¢-$2
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?PoliticsYes$4482¢81¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$4287¢87¢-$0
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsNo$7835¢19¢-$37
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3947¢46¢-$1
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$3895¢93¢-$1
Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$3783¢83¢-$0
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFLYes$4844¢34¢-$11
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceYes$4248¢42¢-$6
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$4631¢25¢-$10
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?EconomyNo$5458¢37¢-$20
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?PoliticsYes$4010¢8.5¢-$6
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$4010¢7.0¢-$12
Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNo$3082¢75¢-$3
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$2691¢91¢-$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?PoliticsYes$4212¢6.9¢-$18
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$2178¢76¢-$1
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?PoliticsNo$3263¢38¢-$13
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2882¢51¢-$11
Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?CultureNo$1784¢78¢-$1
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$1638¢38¢-$0
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$1677¢73¢-$1
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?CryptoYes$1681¢73¢-$2
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1554¢52¢-$1
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$155.8¢5.3¢-$1
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?OtherNo$1262¢51¢-$2
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureNo$1186¢73¢-$2
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$967¢67¢-$0
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?PoliticsYes$2326¢11¢-$14
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechNo$1074¢68¢-$1
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2314¢5.5¢-$14
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?WeatherYes$3232¢9.0¢-$23
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?CultureYes$1150¢41¢-$2
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$944¢42¢-$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?PoliticsNo$1125¢19¢-$3
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$919¢17¢-$1
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?TechYes$2620¢5.9¢-$19
Will FULL SENSE Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?eSportsYes$3419¢4.0¢-$27
Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$711¢8.5¢-$2
Will the Broncos win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFLYes$1137¢19¢-$6
Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?PoliticsNo$228.0¢2.1¢-$16
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?CultureNo$815¢11¢-$2
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$525¢26¢+$0
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechNo$617¢14¢-$1
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?MLBNo$520¢19¢-$0
Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?PoliticsYes$514¢13¢-$1
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$243.7¢0.7¢-$20
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.6B?FinanceYes$837¢19¢-$4
Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$1330¢8.5¢-$9
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢3.5¢-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$44.5¢3.4¢-$1
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢3.1¢-$1
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$1041¢13¢-$7
Will Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$49.5¢7.5¢-$1
Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?PoliticsYes$746¢20¢-$4
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢2.6¢-$2
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 1.2% and 1.4%?EconomyYes$1823¢3.3¢-$15
Will Daniele Monroe-Moreno win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?PoliticsNo$751¢18¢-$5
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢2.5¢-$2
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢2.4¢-$2
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?TechYes$41.8¢0.9¢-$2
Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?PoliticsYes$1323¢4.0¢-$11
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m?CultureYes$733¢11¢-$5
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢2.3¢-$2
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?EconomyYes$1242¢7.3¢-$10
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢2.1¢-$2
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsYes$48.0¢4.0¢-$2
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?PoliticsYes$422¢10.0¢-$2
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song this week?CultureYes$146.3¢0.9¢-$12
Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?PoliticsYes$516¢5.5¢-$3
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?PoliticsNo$427¢11¢-$3
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢1.6¢-$3
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢1.6¢-$3
Amphenol (APH) Q2 organic sales growth 36%-40%?FinanceYes$735¢7.0¢-$6
Will Nova Esports Win an International Event in 2026?eSportsYes$22.7¢1.8¢-$1
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?CultureYes$24.6¢3.7¢-$0
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$54.5¢1.4¢-$3
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?PoliticsNo$458¢21¢-$2
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$193.8¢0.3¢-$18
Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$193.8¢0.3¢-$18
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song this week?CultureYes$146.3¢0.5¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$3.1K
Champions League+$2.4K
eSports-$961
Tech-$899
Crypto-$695
World Cup-$523
Culture-$495
MLB-$418
NFL-$285
Economy-$259
NHL-$168
Weather-$160
Biggest hit
+$1.8K
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
Toughest beat
-$815
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$386m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week?$3013m ago
  • Sold No · Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?$614m ago
  • Sold No · Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?$514m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$216m ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$123m ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$126m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$5126m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$4231m ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$2042m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$245m ago
  • MERGE Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?$5448m ago