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Praescientia

Predicting since Feb 20264,804 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$32194¢92¢-$8
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$26978¢91¢+$43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$28681¢89¢+$26
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$25038¢38¢-$1
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$22674¢73¢-$3
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19787¢98¢+$24
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$20291¢97¢+$12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$15125¢27¢+$13
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$14093¢94¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$16519¢16¢-$26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$11177¢88¢+$17
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9578¢99¢+$26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$12256¢53¢-$8
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?TechYes$10692¢99¢+$8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$10282¢78¢-$6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$10092¢83¢-$9
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2119¢79¢+$67
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2423¢80¢+$61
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$6816¢20¢+$16
Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?PoliticsNo$6967¢78¢+$11
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?CultureYes$6976¢87¢+$10
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$7088¢98¢+$8
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$1418¢97¢+$63
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureNo$4552¢89¢+$32
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$7090¢98¢+$6
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$8085¢81¢-$4
Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$6580¢93¢+$11
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4046¢87¢+$36
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?PoliticsNo$5019¢28¢+$25
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7094¢98¢+$3
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$7090¢93¢+$2
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$7084¢87¢+$2
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$7091¢93¢+$1
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$7087¢88¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7087¢88¢+$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$7095¢95¢-$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$7093¢93¢-$0
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$5671¢87¢+$13
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$5964¢72¢+$6
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4054¢87¢+$24
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4874¢99¢+$16
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$4874¢97¢+$15
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$6031¢33¢+$3
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$10137¢23¢-$39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7159¢51¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$6094¢94¢-$0
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5217¢20¢+$8
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$6025¢25¢-$1
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$5084¢99¢+$9
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?CryptoNo$6472¢65¢-$7
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$4058¢83¢+$17
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$4988¢100¢+$6
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$5090¢99¢+$5
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$5683¢81¢-$2
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechNo$4070¢93¢+$13
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$5056¢59¢+$3
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?OlympicsYes$5390¢88¢-$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?TechNo$4879¢83¢+$2
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3773¢99¢+$13
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$5090¢88¢-$1
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$4793¢96¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in July 2026?PoliticsNo$4595¢100¢+$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4591¢93¢+$1
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2721¢35¢+$18
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?TechYes$4444¢45¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$4084¢95¢+$5
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4086¢96¢+$5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$4083¢93¢+$5
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$4089¢96¢+$3
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$4182¢86¢+$2
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$4091¢97¢+$3
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4087¢91¢+$2
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$3987¢92¢+$2
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?TechNo$5946¢32¢-$18
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next?UFC / MMANo$4182¢81¢-$1
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$4095¢96¢+$0
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4088¢88¢+$0
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$4085¢85¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsYes$4135¢32¢-$4
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$6034¢21¢-$24
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3535¢36¢+$1
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$1539¢90¢+$20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4065¢56¢-$5
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?CultureNo$3495¢97¢+$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$3316¢16¢+$1
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$3265¢66¢+$1
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$4086¢70¢-$7
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$3344¢44¢-$1
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$2885¢90¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$2776¢81¢+$2
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$2791¢97¢+$2
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2781¢86¢+$1
Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2584¢94¢+$3
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?TechNo$3086¢80¢-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2745¢46¢+$0
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?PoliticsNo$2685¢89¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10927¢6.5¢-$83
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$2072¢94¢+$6
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0054 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2480¢86¢+$2
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$2391¢100¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

NBA+$613
Soccer (other)+$471
Politics-$390
Basketball (other)+$340
eSports-$284
Tech-$243
World Cup-$198
Tennis+$167
Champions League+$112
Finance+$106
Weather+$104
Premier League+$100
Biggest hit
+$300
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$237
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold NIP · Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In$1512m ago
  • Sold No · Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$2258m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?$131h ago
  • MERGE LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner$471h ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$81h ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$201h ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$201h ago
  • Bought NIP · Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In$151h ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner$131h ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner$151h ago
  • Bought Team Vitality · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner$151h ago
  • Bought Movistar KOI · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner$151h ago