Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $321 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$8 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $269 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$43 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $286 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$26 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $250 | 38¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $226 | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$3 |
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $197 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$24 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $202 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $151 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$13 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $140 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $165 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$26 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $111 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$17 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $95 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$26 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $122 | 56¢ | 53¢ | -$8 |
| Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?Tech | Yes | $106 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $102 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$6 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $100 | 92¢ | 83¢ | -$9 |
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $21 | 19¢ | 79¢ | +$67 |
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $24 | 23¢ | 80¢ | +$61 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $68 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$16 |
Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?Politics | No | $69 | 67¢ | 78¢ | +$11 |
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?Culture | Yes | $69 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$10 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $70 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $14 | 18¢ | 97¢ | +$63 |
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $45 | 52¢ | 89¢ | +$32 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $80 | 85¢ | 81¢ | -$4 |
Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $65 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $40 | 46¢ | 87¢ | +$36 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 19¢ | 28¢ | +$25 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $70 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $70 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $70 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $70 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $70 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $70 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $70 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $56 | 71¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $59 | 64¢ | 72¢ | +$6 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $40 | 54¢ | 87¢ | +$24 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 74¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $48 | 74¢ | 97¢ | +$15 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $60 | 31¢ | 33¢ | +$3 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $101 | 37¢ | 23¢ | -$39 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 59¢ | 51¢ | -$10 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $60 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$8 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $60 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $50 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $64 | 72¢ | 65¢ | -$7 |
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $40 | 58¢ | 83¢ | +$17 |
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $49 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $50 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $56 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $40 | 70¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $50 | 56¢ | 59¢ | +$3 |
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Olympics | Yes | $53 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $48 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 73¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $50 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $47 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in July 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $27 | 21¢ | 35¢ | +$18 |
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?Tech | Yes | $44 | 44¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $40 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $40 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $40 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $41 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | Yes | $40 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $40 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $59 | 46¢ | 32¢ | -$18 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next?UFC / MMA | No | $41 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Politics | Yes | $40 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $40 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $40 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $60 | 34¢ | 21¢ | -$24 |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $35 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$1 |
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $15 | 39¢ | 90¢ | +$20 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 65¢ | 56¢ | -$5 |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?Culture | No | $34 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $33 | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $32 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $40 | 86¢ | 70¢ | -$7 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $33 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $28 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $27 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $27 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $27 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $25 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?Tech | No | $30 | 86¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$0 |
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Politics | No | $26 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $109 | 27¢ | 6.5¢ | -$83 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $20 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0054 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $24 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $23 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |