 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $5.3K | 50¢ | 76¢ | +$2.7K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5.3K | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$2.7K |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $2.0K | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | No | $1.5K | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$56 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $1.5K | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$28 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $991 | 68¢ | 85¢ | +$241 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $393 | 59¢ | 74¢ | +$96 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Tech | No | $542 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$77 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?Tech | No | $402 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$54 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $310 | 58¢ | 72¢ | +$75 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30?Finance | No | $356 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?Tech | Yes | $358 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?Tech | No | $320 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$18 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $313 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$4 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by September 30?Finance | No | $292 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Tech | No | $287 | 75¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $249 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$33 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of September 19?Culture | Yes | $245 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$27 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Tech | Yes | $243 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$27 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.125T by September 30?Finance | No | $242 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$24 |
 Will BNB reach $900 in September?Crypto | No | $263 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$6 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30?Finance | No | $200 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$40 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech | Yes | $142 | 51¢ | 87¢ | +$97 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.025T by September 30?Finance | No | $222 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $214 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$18 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech | No | $208 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$15 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $76 | 30¢ | 87¢ | +$144 |
 Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $191 | 53¢ | 59¢ | +$23 |
 Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $166 | 69¢ | 89¢ | +$47 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.325T by September 30?Finance | Yes | $164 | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$47 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?Culture | Yes | $190 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $86 | 29¢ | 67¢ | +$110 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $269 | 82¢ | 58¢ | -$79 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30?Finance | No | $160 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$26 |
 Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?Politics | No | $102 | 53¢ | 86¢ | +$65 |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?Culture | Yes | $99 | 12¢ | 20¢ | +$65 |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $190 | 67¢ | 56¢ | -$30 |
 Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30?Culture | No | $106 | 69¢ | 98¢ | +$45 |
 Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Politics | No | $115 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$16 |
 Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | Yes | $103 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$22 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Tech | No | $93 | 68¢ | 88¢ | +$27 |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $86 | 45¢ | 61¢ | +$29 |
 Will Georgia Gould win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | No | $107 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $282 | 82¢ | 33¢ | -$170 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by September 30?Finance | No | $144 | 80¢ | 60¢ | -$37 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by September 30?Finance | No | $102 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?Politics | No | $79 | 69¢ | 93¢ | +$27 |
 Will Twice release a song in 2026?Culture | Yes | $132 | 73¢ | 57¢ | -$30 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.375T by September 30?Finance | Yes | $90 | 64¢ | 72¢ | +$11 |
 Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $89 | 62¢ | 68¢ | +$9 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $87 | 49¢ | 54¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$11 |
 Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $57 | 14¢ | 22¢ | +$29 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $78 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $39 | 41¢ | 84¢ | +$40 |
| Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $59 | 48¢ | 63¢ | +$18 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September?Politics | Yes | $59 | 58¢ | 74¢ | +$16 |
 Will Sneako be deported in 2026?Culture | No | $72 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $72 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | No | $34 | 42¢ | 86¢ | +$36 |
 Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 48¢ | 75¢ | +$24 |
| Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $28 | 39¢ | 91¢ | +$37 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Politics | Yes | $52 | 58¢ | 71¢ | +$11 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $73 | 69¢ | 59¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump say "Pelosi" in September?Mentions | Yes | $44 | 63¢ | 73¢ | +$7 |
| Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?Politics | No | $49 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 25¢ | +$50 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | Yes | $392 | 44¢ | 5.5¢ | -$343 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Politics | Yes | $45 | 64¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech | No | $45 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $171 | 58¢ | 16¢ | -$124 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $38 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $42 | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $34 | 48¢ | 61¢ | +$9 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | Yes | $47 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win 100 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $38 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $33 | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $30 | 76¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech | No | $41 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 43¢ | 86¢ | +$17 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $26 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $23 | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by September 30?Finance | No | $29 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?Politics | Yes | $23 | 58¢ | 71¢ | +$5 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?Tech | No | $28 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?Tech | No | $32 | 80¢ | 68¢ | -$5 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $24 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $19 | 65¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
 Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 22¢ | +$14 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by September 30?Finance | No | $19 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 49¢ | 34¢ | -$8 |
 Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | No | $15 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
 Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $66 | 54¢ | 13¢ | -$51 |
 ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 40¢ | 85¢ | +$6 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 21¢ | 32¢ | +$3 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $13 | 64¢ | 41¢ | -$5 |
 Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Culture | Yes | $13 | 89¢ | 53¢ | -$5 |
 Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Culture | No | $3 | 20¢ | 44¢ | +$4 |
Sold No · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?$352h ago