← Whale Watch

day21

Predicting since Dec 2024674 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$469¢100¢+$2
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYesResolved$599¢100¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$289¢100¢+$0
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?PoliticsNoResolved$291¢100¢+$0
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$291¢100¢+$0
Will the NYC nurses strike end by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$292¢100¢+$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$292¢100¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$296¢100¢+$0
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYesResolved$296¢100¢+$0
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$297¢100¢+$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$297¢100¢+$0
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$297¢100¢+$0
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?PoliticsNoResolved$298¢100¢+$0
Will the US strike ≥5 countries in February 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$298¢100¢+$0
Will Trump talk to Pope Leo XIV in February?PoliticsNoResolved$299¢100¢+$0
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyNoResolved$299¢100¢+$0
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$299¢100¢+$0
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsNoResolved$298¢100¢+$0
Will the US strike 3 countries in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$170¢100¢+$0
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢100¢+$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$178¢100¢+$0
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$191¢100¢+$0
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$190¢100¢+$0
Will Trump say “Rocket Man” by February 28?MentionsNoResolved$192¢100¢+$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$194¢100¢+$0
Will Trump talk to MrBeast in February?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢100¢+$0
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$196¢100¢+$0
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢100¢+$0
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?EconomyNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will Solana reach $190 in November?CryptoYesResolved$296¢0.0¢-$2
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPoliticsYesResolved$180¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$281¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 42.5 on December 12, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$288¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November?PoliticsNoResolved$185¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?PoliticsNoResolved$282¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say “Barack Hussein Obama” by February 28?MentionsNoResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 20, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$197¢0.0¢-$1
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONeSportsXtreme GamingResolved$158¢0.0¢-$1
Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?PoliticsNoResolved$195¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?CryptoYesResolved$293¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?PoliticsNoResolved$183¢0.0¢-$1
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$293¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$179¢0.0¢-$1
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$293¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$171¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?PoliticsNoResolved$283¢0.0¢-$2
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Nigma GalaxyeSportsTeam TideboundResolved$171¢0.0¢-$1
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsNoResolved$197¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will STAČILO! get less than 5% of the vote in the Czech election?PoliticsNoResolved$291¢0.0¢-$2
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$290¢0.0¢-$2
Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$232¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$284¢0.0¢-$2
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?PoliticsYesResolved$397¢0.0¢-$3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?PoliticsNoResolved$286¢0.0¢-$2
Will no leader be out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?PoliticsNoResolved$292¢0.0¢-$2
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?PoliticsNoResolved$298¢0.0¢-$2
Will CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?CultureYesResolved$292¢0.0¢-$2
Will SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?PoliticsNoResolved$294¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$14
Politics-$13
Crypto-$9
eSports+$8
Culture+$4
Tech+$3
Economy+$2
Champions League-$1
Mentions-$1
Premier League+$1
Soccer (other)+$1
NFL+$0
Biggest hit
+$5
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Toughest beat
-$10
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Ukraine hits Moscow by February 14, 2026?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?$25mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?$25mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$35mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$25mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$25mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$25mo ago