applesauce-is-fun

Predicting since Nov 202513 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?Tech	NoResolved	$4	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$3	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Alix Earle & Val Chmerkovskiy win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?Culture	YesResolved	$100	28¢	0.0¢	-$100
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$4	23¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	23¢	0.0¢	-$10
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Economy	NoResolved	$25	12¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Tech	NoResolved	$10	13¢	0.0¢	-$10
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$3	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$15	26¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	7.4¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$15	17¢	0.0¢	-$15

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$100

Politics-$52

Economy-$25

Tech-$18

Toughest beat

-$0

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?

Bought Yes · Grok 4.20 released by December 31?$47mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$17mo ago
Bought No · S&P 500 all time high by December 31?$57mo ago
Sold Yes · Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$107mo ago
Bought Yes · Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$107mo ago
Bought No · S&P 500 all time high by December 31?$207mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$107mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$157mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$57mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$157mo ago
Bought Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$37mo ago
Bought No · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$37mo ago