 Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Tech | No | $83 | 56¢ | 66¢ | +$16 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech | No | $30 | 30¢ | 98¢ | +$68 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $98 | 49¢ | 39¢ | -$21 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | Yes | $28 | 55¢ | 99¢ | +$22 |
 Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 35¢ | 79¢ | +$26 |
 Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $50 | 50¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Mentions | No | $39 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$7 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | Yes | $26 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 30¢ | 13¢ | -$35 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 66¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Politics | No | $16 | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $11 | 55¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?Weather | No | $9 | 43¢ | 91¢ | +$10 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 82¢ | +$9 |
 Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 63¢ | 41¢ | -$9 |
 Will "Blockade" be in the headlines this week?Mentions | Yes | $14 | 45¢ | 53¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 78¢ | +$10 |
 Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?Weather | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $32 | 79¢ | 39¢ | -$16 |
 Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $15 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Politics | No | $19 | 48¢ | 38¢ | -$4 |
 Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $16 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 58¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
 LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Politics | No | $12 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Politics | No | $16 | 80¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 70¢ | +$2 |
 Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Crypto | No | $16 | 78¢ | 70¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9 | 43¢ | 66¢ | +$5 |
 Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Politics | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 58¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | Yes | $11 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $13 | 63¢ | 55¢ | -$2 |
 Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 53¢ | +$5 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 48¢ | -$6 |
 Will James Redgrave win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
 Will Flop launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
 Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Politics | No | $9 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Economy | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will Wu Pin-jui win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $6 | 67¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 41¢ | +$8 |
 Will Kyle Hamilton win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
 Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Politics | No | $8 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | No | $6 | 30¢ | 39¢ | +$2 |
 Will Luizianne win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 38¢ | +$0 |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | Yes | $13 | 64¢ | 38¢ | -$5 |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 52¢ | 37¢ | -$3 |
 GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 37¢ | 19¢ | -$7 |
 Will Marcio Bittar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 36¢ | +$2 |
 Linera FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 81¢ | 36¢ | -$9 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 24¢ | 35¢ | +$2 |
 Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Politics | No | $13 | 63¢ | 34¢ | -$6 |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $29 | 56¢ | 13¢ | -$22 |
 Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Crypto | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | -$17 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 57¢ | 32¢ | -$5 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 39¢ | -$4 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
| Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Mentions | Yes | $15 | 29¢ | 10¢ | -$10 |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $9 | 43¢ | 25¢ | -$4 |
 Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Politics | No | $4 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
 Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Mentions | Yes | $10 | 19¢ | 8.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $4 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Politics | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Mentions | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 39¢ | 19¢ | -$4 |
 Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?Politics | No | $7 | 36¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech | Yes | $43 | 22¢ | 1.6¢ | -$40 |
 Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
 Will Robert Ritz win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
| Linera listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
 LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Politics | Yes | $23 | 45¢ | 5.5¢ | -$20 |
 Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Politics | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 4.9¢ | -$8 |
 Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 70¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
 Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?Politics | No | $2 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?Politics | No | $2 | 58¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 57¢ | 11¢ | -$9 |
 Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 9.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Politics | No | $2 | 48¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Politics | No | $1 | 36¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 8.0¢ | -$4 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Other sports | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 7.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 47¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
 Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1 | 75¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
 Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $2 | 45¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics | No | $1 | 46¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
 Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $1 | 72¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in September?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,400?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon?$206h ago
Cashed out No · Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?$158h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 10?$017h ago
Cashed out No · Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 10?$271d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?$201d ago
Cashed out No · Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 9?$22d ago